Minnesota Twins90% K O 2.575% OUT O 16.544.4% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Zebby Matthews goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (5-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Matthews's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brendan Beck
7/4Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Matthews have an ERA of 4.70 against the Yankees since last year.
★★★★★vs Peter Lambert
6/29Current Astros hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Matthews over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Will Klein
6/22Right-handed starters have an ERA of 4.70 against the Dodgers since last season.
Game Log
Bet
$
70-72 Over142 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @ Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -131 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +120 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -122 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -324 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +172 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +360 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1460 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -900 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +700 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -132 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +100 |
| 6/29 | @ Astros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -108 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -158 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -102 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | — |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +148 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -380 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +320 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +640 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -1160 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1180 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 6/29 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 6/22 | vs Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -570 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +539 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -208 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +114 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +252 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1140 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -2400 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +110 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -147 |
| 6/16 | @ Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -700 |
| 6/16 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -250 |
| 6/16 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +432 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2.
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2 with an average actual of 17.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$324.
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on earned runs 2.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$279.
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 5.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$159.
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$253.
What are Zebby Matthews's best prop bets in 2026?
Zebby Matthews's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 90% (9-1); Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 75% (6-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 44.4% (4-5).
Inside Edge