Minnesota Twins90% K O 2.575% OUT O 16.544.4% HA O 5.5
Season
All Zebby Matthews propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
10g80%Over: 8-2
14vs O 16.5
@
Yankees7/4
Yankees7/4✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓
H: 100%(2)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Matthews's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brendan Beck
7/4Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Matthews have an ERA of 4.70 against the Yankees since last year.
★★★★★vs Peter Lambert
6/29Current Astros hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Matthews over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Will Klein
6/22Right-handed starters have an ERA of 4.70 against the Dodgers since last season.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-4 Over10g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Yankees | O 16.5 | 14 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +100 |
| 6/29 | @ Astros | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -102 |
| 6/29 | @Astros | O 16.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 6/22 | vs Dodgers | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +110 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | O 15.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 6/16 | @ Rangers | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -103 |
| 6/16 | @Rangers | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -118 |
| 6/16 | @Rangers | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -145 |
| 6/11 | @ Tigers | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 6/11 | @Tigers | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 6/5 | vs Royals | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -130 |
| 5/31 | @ Pirates | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -135 |
| 5/31 | @Pirates | O 17.5 | 13 | L | -105 |
| 5/25 | @ White Sox | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +107 |
| 5/25 | @White Sox | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +101 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -144 |
| 5/14 | vs Marlins | O 15.5 | 21 | W | +129 |
| 5/14 | vsMarlins | O 14.5 | 21 | W | -190 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2 with an average actual of 17.6.
Is Zebby Matthews over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Zebby Matthews over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$530 (+53% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 17.6.
What is Zebby Matthews's outs recorded average this season?
Zebby Matthews averages 17.6 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.
Inside Edge