Minnesota Twins90% K O 2.575% OUT O 16.544.4% HA O 5.5
Season
All Zebby Matthews propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g40%Over: 4-6
4vs O 2.5-165
@
Yankees7/4
Yankees7/4✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✗✗
H: 0%(4)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Matthews's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brendan Beck
7/4Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Matthews have an ERA of 4.70 against the Yankees since last year.
★★★★★vs Peter Lambert
6/29Current Astros hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Matthews over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Will Klein
6/22Right-handed starters have an ERA of 4.70 against the Dodgers since last season.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-8 Over10g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Yankees | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +120 |
| 7/4 | @Yankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 6/29 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 6/22 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 6/22 | vsDodgers | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 6/16 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 6/11 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -142 |
| 6/5 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 5/31 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +101 |
| 5/25 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -112 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -170 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +119 |
| 5/14 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +116 |
| 5/14 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -171 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Zebby Matthews hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Zebby Matthews hits the over on earned runs 2.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 3.
Is Zebby Matthews over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Zebby Matthews over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$279 (-27.9% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 3.
What is Zebby Matthews's earned runs average this season?
Zebby Matthews averages 3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge