Season
Best Performer
Tarik Skubal goes over 17.5 outs recorded 66.7% of the time (6-3)
Props — 202616 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
5★★★★★
5-Star Games
14(100%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Skubal's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 69.2%(9-4) | 42.9%(6-8) | 46.2%(6-7) | 33.3%(4-8) | 62.5%(5-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Beck Way
7/24Current Royals hitters are batting .223 against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
7/18Current Angels hitters have struck out 32.9% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
7/12Current Phillies hitters have struck out 29.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
110-113-13 Over236 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/24 | vs Royals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 22 | W | +100 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 12 | W | -122 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 12 | W | +300 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 12 | W | -250 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 12 | W | -1680 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 12 | W | +1100 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 12.5 | 12 | L | +1780 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 12 | W | — |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 12 | W | +569 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 12 | W | +152 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 12 | W | -500 |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 8 | 12 | W | — |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Outs Recorded | O 23.5 | 22 | L | — |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Outs Recorded | O 20.5 | 22 | W | — |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 22 | W | — |
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | Walks Allowed | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -251 |
| 7/18 | @ Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 9 | W | -400 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 9 | W | -105 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -1360 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 9 | W | -210 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 9 | L | +175 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 9 | L | +584 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 9 | L | +325 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 12.5 | 9 | L | +1120 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +118 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +129 |
| 7/18 | @Angels | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 21 | W | +148 |
| 7/12 | vs Phillies | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -103 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -119 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +162 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -1240 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | +560 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -531 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | -120 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +300 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | -256 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +140 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 5 | L | +960 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +181 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -205 |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 7/12 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 64.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-5-1 with an average actual of 6.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$7.
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on earned runs 1.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8-1 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$85.
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7-1 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$65.
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 4-9-1 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$526.
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 18.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$33.
What are Tarik Skubal's best prop bets in 2026?
Tarik Skubal's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 66.7% (6-3); Pitcher Ks O 6.5 at 64.3% (9-5); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 46.7% (7-8).
Inside Edge