Inside Edge
Detroit Tigers50% HA O 4.550% OUT O 18.542.9% ER O 1.5
Season
All Tarik Skubal propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g42.9%Over: 3-4-1
0vs O 4.5-109
vs
Red Sox5/4
Red Sox5/4P✗✓✗✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 50%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
5★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(100%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Skubal's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 7.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 42.9%(3-4) | 50%(3-3) | 42.9%(3-4) | 42.9%(3-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
5/4Current Red Sox hitters have struck out 29.1% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs JR Ritchie
4/29Current Braves hitters have an OPS of .671 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Brandon Sproat
4/23Current Brewers hitters have struck out 28.4% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
4-5-1 Over8g · 10 props
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3-1 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Tarik Skubal over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Tarik Skubal over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$82 (-10.25% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Tarik Skubal's hits allowed average this season?
Tarik Skubal averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.