Season
All Tarik Skubal propsProps — 202616 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g46.7%Over: 7-8-1
1vs O 1.5+118
vs
Royals7/24
Royals7/24✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✓P✓
H: 50%(8)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
5★★★★★
5-Star Games
14(100%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Skubal's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 69.2%(9-4) | 42.9%(6-8) | 46.2%(6-7) | 33.3%(4-8) | 62.5%(5-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Beck Way
7/24Current Royals hitters are batting .223 against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
7/18Current Angels hitters have struck out 32.9% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
7/12Current Phillies hitters have struck out 29.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Skubal over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
8-9-1 Over16g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/24 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 7/18 | @ Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 7/12 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -103 |
| 7/7 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/30 | @ Yankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 6/24 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 6/19 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 6/19 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -197 |
| 6/13 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
| 5/4 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -105 |
| 4/29 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 4/29 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/23 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 4/18 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/12 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 4/7 | @ Twins | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 4/1 | @ Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 3/26 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Tarik Skubal hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Tarik Skubal hits the over on earned runs 1.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8-1 with an average actual of 1.7.
Is Tarik Skubal over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Tarik Skubal over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$85 (-5.31% ROI). The hit rate is 46.7% with an average actual of 1.7.
What is Tarik Skubal's earned runs average this season?
Tarik Skubal averages 1.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge