Inside Edge
Shane Bieber
Toronto Blue JaysReg3.65 ERA / 37 K / 39.4 IP / 8.5 K/9 / 7G
Post4.11 ERA / 18 K / 17.5 IP / 9.3 K/9 / 5G
42.9% K O 5.528.6% ER O 2.527.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Shane Bieber goes over 1.5 earned runs 66.7% of the time (4-2)
Props — 202511 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bieber's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 33.3%(2-4) | 20%(1-4) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
10/28Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bieber have an ERA of 5.46 against the Dodgers over the last year.
★★★★★
10/20Current Mariners hitters have struck out 25.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Bieber over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★
10/15Current Mariners hitters have struck out 25.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Bieber over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
20-28 Over48 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/28 | @ Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -122 |
| 10/28 | @Dodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -142 |
| 10/28 | @Dodgers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -145 |
| 10/28 | @Dodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -188 |
| 10/20 | vs Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -147 |
| 10/20 | vsMariners | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 10/20 | vsMariners | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -107 |
| 10/20 | vsMariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +167 |
| 10/15 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -145 |
| 10/15 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -146 |
| 10/15 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -150 |
| 10/15 | @Mariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +143 |
| 10/7 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +101 |
| 10/7 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 10/7 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +130 |
| 10/7 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -109 |
| 9/26 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 9/26 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 9/26 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -166 |
| 9/26 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +110 |
| 9/26 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +138 |
| 9/26 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 9/20 | @ Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 9/20 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 9/20 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +106 |
| 9/20 | @Royals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +154 |
| 9/14 | vs Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | -140 |
| 9/14 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 9/14 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 9/14 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -116 |
| 9/9 | vs Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 9/9 | vsAstros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 9/9 | vsAstros | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +100 |
| 9/9 | vsAstros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 9/3 | @ Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -150 |
| 9/3 | @Reds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +110 |
| 9/3 | @Reds | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 9/3 | @Reds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +130 |
| 8/29 | vs Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 8/29 | vsBrewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 8/29 | vsBrewers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 8/29 | vsBrewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 8/22 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -165 |
| 8/22 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +115 |
| 8/22 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 8/22 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 8/22 | @Marlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 8/22 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Shane Bieber hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Shane Bieber hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$118.
How often does Shane Bieber hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Bieber hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2025, going 2-5 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$275.
How often does Shane Bieber hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Shane Bieber hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 20% of the time in 2025, going 1-4 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$300.
How often does Shane Bieber hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Shane Bieber hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 27.3% of the time in 2025, going 3-8 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$479.
What are Shane Bieber's best prop bets in 2025?
Shane Bieber's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 42.9% (3-4); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 28.6% (2-5); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 27.3% (3-8).