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Players/MLB/Toronto Blue Jays/Shane Bieber/Earned Runs
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

Toronto Blue Jays•Pitcher•2026
4.75ERA44K53.1IP7.5K/911G
4.75ERA44K53.1IP7.5K/911G
63.6% K O 3.563.6% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 16.5
Season
All Shane Bieber props

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

11g
avg 2.5
36.4%Over: 4-7
1vs O 2.5-103
@Rays8/20
✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 20%(5)A: 50%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
50%
40%
25%
Jun
1-1
Jul
2-3
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bieber's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★100%(3-0)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-3)100%(3-0)0%(0-2)
★★★★★100%(2-0)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)50%(2-2)50%(2-2)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Ian Seymour
8/20

Rays hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Bieber.

★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
8/14

Current Yankees hitters have an OPS of .824 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bieber over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
8/9

Current Phillies hitters have struck out just 15.8% of the time against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bieber over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
7-7 Over11g · 14 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/20@RaysO 2.51L-103
8/14vsYankeesO 2.51L-105
8/9@PhilliesO 2.55W-155
8/9@PhilliesO 3.55W+111
8/3@AstrosO 2.51L-135
7/28@NationalsO 2.54W-160
7/28@NationalsO 3.54W—
7/23vsRaysO 2.51L-110
7/18vsWhite SoxO 2.50L-120
7/10@PadresO 2.52L-122
7/4@MarinersO 2.57W-110
6/28vsRangersO 2.52L-104
6/23vsAstrosO 2.54W+121
6/23vsAstrosO 1.54W-174

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all
Kazuma OkamotoErnie ClementVladimir Guerrero Jr.Daulton VarshoGeorge SpringerNathan LukesBrandon ValenzuelaAlejandro KirkMyles StrawTyler HeinemanYohendrick PinangoJosh SmithDavis SchneiderLenyn SosaCharles McAdoo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Shane Bieber hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Bieber hits the over on earned runs 2.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-7 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Shane Bieber over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shane Bieber over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$361 (-32.82% ROI). The hit rate is 36.4% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Shane Bieber's earned runs average this season?
Shane Bieber averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Shane Bieber 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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