Inside Edge
New York Mets71.4% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 4.555.6% K O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Sean Manaea goes over 2.5 earned runs 71.4% of the time (5-2)
Props — 202512 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(33%)
Total Matchups
12Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Manaea's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★
9/21Current Nationals hitters have an OPS of .605 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Manaea over the last two years.
★★★★★
9/9Pitchers with similar repertoires to Manaea have an ERA of 4.90 against the Phillies over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
24-23 Over47 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -146 |
| 9/21 | vs Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -108 |
| 9/21 | vsNationals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -111 |
| 9/21 | vsNationals | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 9/21 | vsNationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +148 |
| 9/9 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -150 |
| 9/9 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 9/9 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +105 |
| 9/9 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 9/1 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 9/1 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 9/1 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -135 |
| 9/1 | @Tigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 8/26 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -142 |
| 8/26 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 8/26 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 8/26 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 8/21 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -154 |
| 8/21 | @Nationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 8/21 | @Nationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -118 |
| 8/21 | @Nationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 8/15 | vs Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 8/15 | vsMariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/15 | vsMariners | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 8/15 | vsMariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -190 |
| 8/10 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 8/10 | @Brewers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/10 | @Brewers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 8/10 | @Brewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 8/4 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 8/4 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 8/4 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 8/4 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 7/29 | @ Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 7/29 | @Padres | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 7/29 | @Padres | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 7/29 | @Padres | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 7/23 | vs Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -142 |
| 7/23 | vsAngels | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 7/23 | vsAngels | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 7/23 | vsAngels | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -130 |
| 7/23 | vsAngels | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -175 |
| 7/18 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +108 |
| 7/18 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 7/18 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 7/18 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 7/18 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Sean Manaea hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Sean Manaea hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 55.6% of the time in 2025, going 5-4 with an average actual of 5.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$30.
How often does Sean Manaea hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Sean Manaea hits the over on earned runs 2.5 71.4% of the time in 2025, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$415.
How often does Sean Manaea hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Sean Manaea hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2025, going 6-3 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$204.
How often does Sean Manaea hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Sean Manaea hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 27.3% of the time in 2025, going 3-8 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$544.
What are Sean Manaea's best prop bets in 2025?
Sean Manaea's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 66.7% (6-3); Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 55.6% (5-4).