Inside Edge
New York Mets71.4% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 4.555.6% K O 5.5
Season
All Sean Manaea propsProps — 202512 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
11g63.6%Over: 7-4
3vs O 1.5-111
vs
Nationals9/21
Nationals9/21✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 50%(2)A: 80%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(33%)
Total Matchups
12Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Manaea's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★
9/21Current Nationals hitters have an OPS of .605 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Manaea over the last two years.
★★★★★
9/9Pitchers with similar repertoires to Manaea have an ERA of 4.90 against the Phillies over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-4 Over11g · 11 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/21 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -111 |
| 9/9 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 9/1 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 8/26 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 8/21 | @Nationals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 8/15 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/10 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/4 | vs Guardians | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 7/29 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 7/23 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 7/18 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Sean Manaea hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Sean Manaea hits the over on earned runs 2.5 71.4% of the time in 2025, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3.4.
Is Sean Manaea over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2025, betting $100 on Sean Manaea over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$372 (+33.82% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 3.4.
What is Sean Manaea's earned runs average this season?
Sean Manaea averages 3.4 earned runs per game in 2025 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.