Richard Fitts

Boston Red SoxPitcher•2025

Reg5.22 ERA / 41 K / 48.3 IP / 7.6 K/9 / 12G

80% K O 3.542.9% ER O 2.540% HA O 4.5

Season

Best Performer

Richard Fitts goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 80% of the time (4-1)

Props — 202510 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

10g

avg 3.3

66.7%Over: 6-3-1

2vs O 4.5+126

Twins7/28

✗✓✓P✓✗✗✓✓✓

H: 50%(2)A: 100%(3)

Earned Runs

avg 2.1

42.9%Over: 3-4-1

2vs O 2.5+100

Twins7/28

✗✗P✗✓✗✓✓

H: 50%(4)A: 25%(4)

Hits Allowed

avg 3.9

42.9%Over: 3-4-1

4vs O 4.5-170

Twins7/28

✗✓P✗✗✗✓✓

H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)

Walks Allowed

avg 1.4

28.6%Over: 2-5-1

3vs O 1.5+155

Twins7/28

✓✗P✗✗✗✓✗

H: 25%(4)A: 25%(4)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Fitts's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	50%(2-2)	50%(1-1)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	—	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★

7/28

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Fitts have an ERA of 4.74 against the Twins since last year.

★★★★★

7/22

Phillies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Fitts.

★★★★★

7/7

Not enough matchup data.

Game Log

Bet

14-17-5 Over36 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/28	@Twins	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	+126
7/28	@Twins	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+100
7/28	@Twins	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	-170
7/28	@Twins	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	+155
7/28	@Twins	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	+115
7/22	@Phillies	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-120
7/7	vsRockies	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	6	W	-112
7/7	vsRockies	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+120
7/7	vsRockies	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	-160
7/7	vsRockies	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+150
7/1	vsReds	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	0	P	+125
7/1	vsReds	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	P	-105
7/1	vsReds	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	0	P	+110
7/1	vsReds	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	P	+100
7/1	vsReds	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	0	P	-165
6/25	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	6	W	-125
6/25	@Angels	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+100
6/25	@Angels	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	-140
6/25	@Angels	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+105
6/2	vsAngels	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	0	L	-110
6/2	vsAngels	Earned Runs	O 2.5	5	W	+105
6/2	vsAngels	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	-135
6/2	vsAngels	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+155
5/27	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	2	L	-125
4/12	@White Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	+130
4/12	@White Sox	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	+120
4/12	@White Sox	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	2	L	+125
4/12	@White Sox	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-115
4/7	vsBlue Jays	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	+135
4/7	vsBlue Jays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	+105
4/7	vsBlue Jays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	6	W	+100
4/7	vsBlue Jays	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	4	W	-120
3/30	@Rangers	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	+100
3/30	@Rangers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	+100
3/30	@Rangers	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	-145
3/30	@Rangers	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	+120

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Richard Fitts hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Richard Fitts hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 80% of the time in 2025, going 4-1 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$298.

How often does Richard Fitts hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Richard Fitts hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4-1 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$90.

How often does Richard Fitts hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Richard Fitts hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 40% of the time in 2025, going 2-3-1 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$169.

How often does Richard Fitts hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Richard Fitts hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 28.6% of the time in 2025, going 2-5-1 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$262.

What are Richard Fitts's best prop bets in 2025?

Richard Fitts's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 80% (4-1); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 42.9% (3-4); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 40% (2-3).