Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh PiratesPitcher2026
Reg3.90 ERA / 123 K / 101.6 IP / 10.9 K/9 / 19G
61.1% K O 6.558.8% ER O 1.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Paul Skenes goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (6-0)

Props — 202619 games with closing lines

avg 6.2
61.1%Over: 11-7-1
4vs O 6.5-104
vsBraves7/7
H: 63.6%(11)A: 50%(8)
avg 2.3
61.1%Over: 11-7-1
2vs O 1.5-175
vsBraves7/7
H: 54.5%(11)A: 57.1%(7)
avg 4.4
50%Over: 9-9-1
8vs O 4.5-153
vsBraves7/7
H: 45.5%(11)A: 75%(4)
avg 1.2
44.4%Over: 8-10-1
1vs O 1.5-119
vsBraves7/7
H: 36.4%(11)A: 50%(8)
avg 15.5
50%Over: 8-8-1
18vs O 17.5-154
vsBraves7/7
H: 44.4%(9)A: 60%(5)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
5
5-Star Games
18(100%)
Total Matchups
18
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Skenes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
61.1%(11-7)52.9%(9-8)53.3%(8-7)38.9%(7-11)50%(7-7)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Hurston Waldrep
7/7

Current Braves hitters are batting .189 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years.

vs Zack Wheeler
7/1

Current Phillies hitters have struck out 31.2% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Andrew Abbott
6/26

Current Reds hitters have struck out 31.3% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
114-136-13 Over263 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 6.54L-104
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 9.54L+770
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 8.54L+387
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 3.54W-1360
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 7.54L+197
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 5.54L-215
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 4.54L-493
7/7vsBravesHits AllowedO 4.58W-153
7/7vsBravesOuts RecordedO 17.518W-154
7/7vsBravesEarned RunsO 1.52W-175
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 2.54W
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 10.54L+1480
7/7vsBravesPitcher KsO 1.54W
7/7vsBravesOuts RecordedO 18.518L
7/7vsBravesWalks AllowedO 1.51L-119
7/7vsBravesEarned RunsO 2.52L+130
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 4.55W-800
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 9.55L+490
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 8.55L+250
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 7.55L+130
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 6.55L-152
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 5.55L-341
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 3.55W-2600
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 2.55W
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 11.55L+1700
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 10.55L+880
7/1@PhilliesPitcher KsO 1.55W
7/1@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 18.512L
7/1@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 17.512L-162
7/1@PhilliesEarned RunsO 2.57W+119
7/1@PhilliesHits AllowedO 5.56W+120
7/1@PhilliesHits AllowedO 4.56W-150
7/1@PhilliesWalks AllowedO 1.52W+111
6/26vsRedsEarned RunsO 1.54W-107
6/26vsRedsHits AllowedO 4.56W+115
6/26vsRedsOuts RecordedO 17.515L-178
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 7.57L-138
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 12.57L
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 4.57W-1340
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 8.57L+129
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 9.57L+242
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 3.57W
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 2.57W
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 5.57W-577
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 11.57L+750
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 10.57L+420
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 6.57W-273
6/26vsRedsPitcher KsO 13.57L
6/26vsRedsHits AllowedO 3.56W-165
6/26vsRedsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-123

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 61.1% of the time in 2026, going 11-7-1 with an average actual of 6.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$177.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on earned runs 1.5 58.8% of the time in 2026, going 10-7-1 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$121.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-6-1 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$88.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10-1 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$235.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6-1 with an average actual of 15.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$175.
What are Paul Skenes's best prop bets in 2026?
Paul Skenes's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 6.5 at 61.1% (11-7); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 58.8% (10-7); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 57.1% (8-6).

Paul Skenes 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.19 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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