Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh PiratesPitcher2026
Reg2.82 ERA / 63 K / 54.3 IP / 10.4 K/9 / 10G
66.7% OUT O 17.555.6% K O 6.533.3% ER O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Paul Skenes goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 87.5% of the time (7-1-1)

Props — 202610 games with closing lines

avg 5.8
55.6%Over: 5-4-1
7vs O 6.5-135
vsPhillies5/17
P
H: 50%(6)A: 50%(4)
avg 1.7
33.3%Over: 3-6-1
5vs O 1.5-149
vsPhillies5/17
P
H: 33.3%(6)A: 25%(4)
avg 2.9
33.3%Over: 3-6-1
6vs O 4.5-133
vsPhillies5/17
P
H: 33.3%(6)A: 0%(1)
avg 0.8
33.3%Over: 3-6-1
1vs O 1.5+140
vsPhillies5/17
P
H: 16.7%(6)A: 50%(4)
avg 15.3
62.5%Over: 5-3-1
15vs O 17.5-181
vsPhillies5/17
P
H: 40%(5)A: 100%(2)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
5
5-Star Games
9(100%)
Total Matchups
9
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Skenes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
55.6%(5-4)22.2%(2-7)28.6%(2-5)22.2%(2-7)57.1%(4-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Zack Wheeler
5/17

Current Phillies hitters have struck out 30.4% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Michael Lorenzen
5/12

Current Rockies hitters have struck out 28.2% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Mike Soroka
5/6

Current Diamondbacks hitters are batting .212 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
48-67-13 Over128 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 4.57W-625
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 11.57L+1660
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 5.57W-275
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 8.57L+290
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 7.57L+150
5/17vsPhilliesOuts RecordedO 18.515L+124
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 10.57L+880
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 9.57L+520
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 3.57W-2500
5/17vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 6.57W-135
5/17vsPhilliesEarned RunsO 1.55W-149
5/17vsPhilliesHits AllowedO 4.56W-133
5/17vsPhilliesOuts RecordedO 17.515L-181
5/17vsPhilliesWalks AllowedO 1.51L+140
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 6.510W-235
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 9.510W+320
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 7.510W-112
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 3.510W-4000
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 10.510L+630
5/12vsRockiesOuts RecordedO 18.524W+122
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 12.510L+1480
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 4.510W-1200
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 8.510W+174
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 11.510L+860
5/12vsRockiesPitcher KsO 5.510W-486
5/12vsRockiesHits AllowedO 3.52L-151
5/12vsRockiesEarned RunsO 1.50L+111
5/12vsRockiesWalks AllowedO 1.50L+126
5/12vsRockiesHits AllowedO 4.52L+122
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 5.57W-158
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 3.57W-870
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 4.57W-343
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 6.57W+138
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 7.57L+270
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 8.57L+550
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 9.57L+950
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 10.57L+1760
5/6@DiamondbacksEarned RunsO 1.50L-137
5/6@DiamondbacksHits AllowedO 4.52L-132
5/6@DiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 17.524W-175
5/6@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 2.57W-3800
5/6@DiamondbacksWalks AllowedO 1.50L+104
5/6@DiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 18.524W+124
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 6.59W-132
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 3.59W-2300
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 4.59W-700
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.59W-280
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 7.59W+154
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 8.59W+300
4/30vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 9.59L+580

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4-1 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$32.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on earned runs 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6-1 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$294.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4-1 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$198.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6-1 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$318.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2-1 with an average actual of 16. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$56.
What are Paul Skenes's best prop bets in 2026?
Paul Skenes's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Pitcher Ks O 6.5 at 55.6% (5-4); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 33.3% (3-6).

Paul Skenes 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.10 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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