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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
4.21ERA171K136.9IP11.2K/926G
4.21ERA171K136.9IP11.2K/926G
62.5% ER O 1.560% K O 6.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Paul Skenes goes over 1.5 earned runs 62.5% of the time (15-9-1)

Props — 202627 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

27g
avg 6.1
60%Over: 15-10-2
5vs O 6.5+142
vsTigers8/19
✗P✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 60%(15)A: 50%(12)

Hits Allowed

27g
avg 4.3
52%Over: 13-12-2
4vs O 4.5-104
vsTigers8/19
✗P✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓
H: 40%(15)A: 75%(8)

Earned Runs

26g
avg 2.5
64%Over: 16-9-1
3vs O 1.5-116
vsTigers8/19
✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 64.3%(14)A: 54.5%(11)

Walks Allowed

26g
avg 1.6
52%Over: 13-12-1
4vs O 1.5+118
vsTigers8/19
✓✗✓✓✓✓✗✗✓✓
H: 42.9%(14)A: 58.3%(12)

Outs Recorded

25g
avg 14.9
39.1%Over: 9-14-2
13vs O 17.5
vsTigers8/19
✗P✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(12)A: 44.4%(9)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
4.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
20(80%)
Total Matchups
25
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Skenes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Earned RunsO 1.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★65%(13-7)52.9%(9-8)52.6%(10-9)40%(8-12)50%(8-8)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★0%(0-2)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jackson Jobe
8/19

Current Tigers hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Eury Pérez
8/11

Skenes has struck out 44.7% of the Marlins hitters he has faced in 38 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Marlins.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
8/5

Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Skenes.

Game Log

Bet
$
172-206-26 Over404 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.55L+291
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.55W-325
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.55L+142
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.55L-146
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.55W-870
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 8.55L+583
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 9.55L+1160
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.55W-3800
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.55W—
8/19vsTigersEarned RunsO 1.53W-116
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 15.513L-122
8/19vsTigersHits AllowedO 4.54L-104
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 65L—
8/19vsTigersPitcher KsO 10.55L—
8/19vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.54W+118
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 17.513L—
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 20.513L—
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 14.513L—
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 16.513L+101
8/19vsTigersOuts RecordedO 1613L—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 5.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 6.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 8.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 4.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 7.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 3.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 15.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 9.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 60P—
8/16vsRed SoxHits AllowedO 4.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 2.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 1.50P—
8/16vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 10.50P—
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 3.54W-3300
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 9.54L+560
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 4.54L-650
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 8.54L+280
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 5.54L-275
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 6.54L-140
8/11@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.515L-140
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 10.54L+870
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 7.54L+140
8/11@MarlinsEarned RunsO 1.51L-135
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 11.54L+1700
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 2.54W—
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 1.54W—
8/11@MarlinsHits AllowedO 4.55W+103
8/11@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 16.515L-135
8/11@MarlinsPitcher KsO 74L—
8/11@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 20.515L—

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 15-10-2 with an average actual of 6.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$121.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 12-9-2 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$183.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on earned runs 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 15-9-1 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$262.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 52% of the time in 2026, going 13-12-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$34.
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 8-12-1 with an average actual of 15.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$619.
What are Paul Skenes's best prop bets in 2026?
Paul Skenes's highest-hitting props in 2026: Earned Runs O 1.5 at 62.5% (15-9); Pitcher Ks O 6.5 at 60% (15-10); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 57.1% (12-9).

Paul Skenes 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.27 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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