Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates66.7% OUT O 17.555.6% K O 6.533.3% ER O 1.5
Season
All Paul Skenes propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g33.3%Over: 3-6-1
5vs O 1.5-149
vs
Phillies5/17
Phillies5/17✓✗✗✓✗P✗✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
5★★★★★
5-Star Games
9(100%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Skenes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 22.2%(2-7) | 28.6%(2-5) | 22.2%(2-7) | 57.1%(4-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
5/17Current Phillies hitters have struck out 30.4% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Michael Lorenzen
5/12Current Rockies hitters have struck out 28.2% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/6Current Diamondbacks hitters are batting .212 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-6-1 Over10g · 10 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -149 |
| 5/12 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +111 |
| 5/6 | @ Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -137 |
| 4/30 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 4/24 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 4/18 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -115 |
| 4/13 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 4/7 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +116 |
| 4/1 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 3/26 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 5 | W | +129 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on earned runs 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6-1 with an average actual of 1.7.
Is Paul Skenes over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Paul Skenes over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$294 (-29.4% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 1.7.
What is Paul Skenes's earned runs average this season?
Paul Skenes averages 1.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.