Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates66.7% OUT O 17.555.6% K O 6.533.3% ER O 1.5
Season
All Paul Skenes propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
10g33.3%Over: 3-6-1
6vs O 4.5-133
vs
Phillies5/17
Phillies5/17✓✗✗✓✗P✗✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 0%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
5★★★★★
5-Star Games
9(100%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Skenes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 22.2%(2-7) | 28.6%(2-5) | 22.2%(2-7) | 57.1%(4-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
5/17Current Phillies hitters have struck out 30.4% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Michael Lorenzen
5/12Current Rockies hitters have struck out 28.2% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/6Current Diamondbacks hitters are batting .212 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Skenes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-8-1 Over10g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -133 |
| 5/12 | vs Rockies | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -151 |
| 5/12 | vsRockies | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 5/6 | @ Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -132 |
| 4/30 | vs Cardinals | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +127 |
| 4/30 | vsCardinals | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -172 |
| 4/24 | @ Brewers | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 4/18 | vs Rays | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +124 |
| 4/13 | vs Nationals | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/7 | vs Padres | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 4/7 | vsPadres | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/1 | @ Reds | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -148 |
| 3/26 | @ Mets | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Paul Skenes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Paul Skenes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4-1 with an average actual of 3.
Is Paul Skenes over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Paul Skenes over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$333 (-33.3% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 3.
What is Paul Skenes's hits allowed average this season?
Paul Skenes averages 3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.