
72.7% HRR O 0.565.2% H O 0.565.2% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Miguel Vargas goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 72.7% of the time (64-24-2)
Props — 202691 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 0%(0-6) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(11-6) | 17.6%(3-14) | 35.3%(6-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 73.9%(17-6) | 21.7%(5-18) | 39.1%(9-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(18-9) | 33.3%(9-18) | 44.4%(12-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.2%(7-10) | 5.9%(1-16) | 5.9%(1-16) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
7/7Vargas is slugging .494 in 320 AB's this season.
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
7/5Vargas is batting just .200 (1-5) against Bibee.
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
7/4Vargas is slugging .500 against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .190 (12-for-63) against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Messick.
Game Log
Bet
$
725-2277-62 Over3064 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -200 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 7/7 | vs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 7/7 | vs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 7/7 | vs | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +139 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +270 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -285 |
| 7/7 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 7/7 | vs | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +340 |
| 7/7 | vs | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 7/7 | vs | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 7/7 | vs | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 0 | L | +940 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -200 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +280 |
| 7/7 | vs | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +220 |
| 7/7 | vs | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/7 | vs | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +375 |
| 7/7 | vs | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +720 |
| 7/7 | vs | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 7/7 | vs | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vs | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 7/7 | vs | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vs | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 7/7 | vs | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +240 |
| 7/7 | vs | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -245 |
| 7/7 | vs | Walks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +960 |
| 7/7 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/7 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 7/7 | vs | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1180 |
| 7/7 | vs | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/7 | vs | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +330 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -227 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +239 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -120 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -310 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3800 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +372 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +158 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +650 |
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on hits 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on hits 0.5 65.2% of the time in 2026, going 58-31-2 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$117.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 20.2% of the time in 2026, going 18-71-2 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,504.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on rbis 0.5 33.7% of the time in 2026, going 30-59-2 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$228.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 48.3% of the time in 2026, going 43-46-2 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$559.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12.4% of the time in 2026, going 11-78-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,230.
What are Miguel Vargas's best prop bets in 2026?
Miguel Vargas's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 72.7% (64-24); Hits O 0.5 at 65.2% (58-31); Total Bases O 0.5 at 65.2% (58-31).

Inside Edge