Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas

Chicago White SoxPosition Player2026
Reg0.245 / 20 HR / 56 RBI / 79 H / 11 SB / 89G
72.7% HRR O 0.565.2% H O 0.565.2% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Miguel Vargas goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 72.7% of the time (64-24-2)

Props — 202691 games with closing lines

Hits

91g
avg 0.9
65.2%Over: 58-31-2
0vs O 0.5-200
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 70.5%(44)A: 57.4%(47)
avg 0.2
20.2%Over: 18-71-2
0vs O 0.5+340
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 22.7%(44)A: 17%(47)

RBIs

91g
avg 0.5
33.7%Over: 30-59-2
0vs O 0.5+170
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 36.4%(44)A: 29.8%(47)
avg 0.6
48.3%Over: 43-46-2
0vs O 0.5+100
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 59.1%(44)A: 36.2%(47)
avg 0.1
12.4%Over: 11-78-2
0vs O 0.5+850
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 9.1%(44)A: 14.9%(47)
avg 1.6
65.2%Over: 58-31-2
0vs O 0.5-200
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 70.5%(44)A: 57.4%(47)
avg 0.6
47.7%Over: 42-46-2
1vs O 0.5+139
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 52.3%(44)A: 41.3%(46)
avg 0.7
54.5%Over: 48-40-2
1vs O 0.5-245
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 50%(44)A: 56.5%(46)
avg 0.2
18.2%Over: 16-72-2
0vs O 0.5+375
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 20.5%(44)A: 15.2%(46)
72.7%Over: 64-24-2
0vs O 0.5-285
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 77.3%(44)A: 65.2%(46)
avg 0.5
40.9%Over: 36-52-2
0vs O 0.5+120
vsRed Sox7/7
H: 38.6%(44)A: 41.3%(46)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.6
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
83.3%(5-1)0%(0-6)33.3%(2-4)
64.7%(11-6)17.6%(3-14)35.3%(6-11)
73.9%(17-6)21.7%(5-18)39.1%(9-14)
66.7%(18-9)33.3%(9-18)44.4%(12-15)
41.2%(7-10)5.9%(1-16)5.9%(1-16)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Payton Tolle
7/7

Vargas is slugging .494 in 320 AB's this season.

vs Tanner Bibee
7/5

Vargas is batting just .200 (1-5) against Bibee.

vs Parker Messick
7/4

Vargas is slugging .500 against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .190 (12-for-63) against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Messick.

Game Log

Bet
$
725-2277-62 Over3064 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/7vsRed SoxHitsO 0.50L-200
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L-115
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 1.50L+125
7/7vsRed SoxRuns ScoredO 0.50L+100
7/7vsRed SoxRBIsO 0.50L+170
7/7vsRed SoxWalksO 0.51W+139
7/7vsRed SoxHitsO 2.50L+1300
7/7vsRed SoxHitsO 1.50L+270
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.50L
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+525
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+310
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+165
7/7vsRed SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-285
7/7vsRed SoxHome RunsO 1.50L+3500
7/7vsRed SoxHome RunsO 0.50L+340
7/7vsRed SoxRBIsO 1.50L+600
7/7vsRed SoxRBIsO 2.50L+1800
7/7vsRed SoxRuns ScoredO 1.50L+550
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 5.50L+940
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 0.50L-200
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 4.50L+600
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 3.50L+280
7/7vsRed SoxTotal BasesO 2.50L+220
7/7vsRed SoxHitsO 3.50L+8000
7/7vsRed SoxDoublesO 0.50L+375
7/7vsRed SoxSinglesO 1.50L+720
7/7vsRed SoxSinglesO 0.50L+120
7/7vsRed SoxHome RunsO 2.50L
7/7vsRed SoxRBIsO 3.50L+4500
7/7vsRed SoxRuns ScoredO 3.50L
7/7vsRed SoxRuns ScoredO 2.50L+3500
7/7vsRed SoxStrikeoutsO 1.51L+240
7/7vsRed SoxStrikeoutsO 0.51W-245
7/7vsRed SoxWalksO 1.51L+960
7/7vsRed SoxStolen BasesO 1.50L+8000
7/7vsRed SoxStolen BasesO 0.50L+850
7/7vsRed SoxStrikeoutsO 2.51L+1180
7/7vsRed SoxRBIsO 4.50L+5000
7/7vsRed SoxDoublesO 1.50L
7/5@GuardiansDoublesO 0.51W+330
7/5@GuardiansHitsO 0.51W-227
7/5@GuardiansHitsO 1.51L+239
7/5@GuardiansHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W-120
7/5@GuardiansHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-310
7/5@GuardiansHome RunsO 1.50L+3800
7/5@GuardiansHome RunsO 0.50L+372
7/5@GuardiansRBIsO 1.50L+490
7/5@GuardiansRBIsO 0.50L+158
7/5@GuardiansRuns ScoredO 1.52W+650

Chicago White Sox Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on hits 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on hits 0.5 65.2% of the time in 2026, going 58-31-2 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$117.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 20.2% of the time in 2026, going 18-71-2 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,504.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on rbis 0.5 33.7% of the time in 2026, going 30-59-2 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$228.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 48.3% of the time in 2026, going 43-46-2 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$559.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12.4% of the time in 2026, going 11-78-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,230.
What are Miguel Vargas's best prop bets in 2026?
Miguel Vargas's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 72.7% (64-24); Hits O 0.5 at 65.2% (58-31); Total Bases O 0.5 at 65.2% (58-31).

Miguel Vargas 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.91 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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