
73.6% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.565.9% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Miguel Vargas goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 73.6% of the time (64-23-2)
Props — 202690 games with closing lines
avg 2.1
73.6%Over: 64-23-2
3vs O 0.5-310
@
Guardians7/5
✓✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 79.1%(43)A: 65.2%(46)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 0%(0-6) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 68.8%(11-5) | 18.8%(3-13) | 37.5%(6-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 73.9%(17-6) | 21.7%(5-18) | 39.1%(9-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(18-9) | 33.3%(9-18) | 44.4%(12-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.2%(7-10) | 5.9%(1-16) | 5.9%(1-16) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
7/7Vargas is slugging .494 in 320 AB's this season.
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
7/5Vargas is batting just .200 (1-5) against Bibee.
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
7/4Vargas is slugging .500 against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .190 (12-for-63) against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Messick.
Game Log
Bet
$
723-2239-62 Over3024 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +330 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -227 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +239 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -120 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -310 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3800 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +372 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +158 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +650 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +103 |
| 7/5 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +109 |
| 7/5 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/5 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +295 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +216 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +610 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +282 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +514 |
| 7/5 | @ | Walks | O 0.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +1080 |
| 7/5 | @ | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +670 |
| 7/5 | @ | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +245 |
| 7/5 | @ | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -239 |
| 7/5 | @ | Walks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +1080 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +7000 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +3500 |
| 7/5 | @ | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 7/5 | @ | Doubles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +650 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +185 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -270 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +350 |
| 7/4 | @ | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 7/4 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +267 |
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on hits 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on hits 0.5 65.9% of the time in 2026, going 58-30-2 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$217.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 20.5% of the time in 2026, going 18-70-2 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,604.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on rbis 0.5 34.1% of the time in 2026, going 30-58-2 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$128.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 48.9% of the time in 2026, going 43-45-2 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$659.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 11-77-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,330.
What are Miguel Vargas's best prop bets in 2026?
Miguel Vargas's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 73.6% (64-23); Hits O 0.5 at 65.9% (58-30); Total Bases O 0.5 at 65.9% (58-30).

Inside Edge