
72.3% HRR O 0.562.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.5
Season
All Miguel Vargas propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
49g52.1%Over: 25-23-1
0vs O 0.5+155
@
Mariners5/20
✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗
H: 66.7%(24)A: 36%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(4%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(8-2) | 20%(2-8) | 50%(5-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(9-2) | 36.4%(4-7) | 63.6%(7-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 23.5%(4-13) | 29.4%(5-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(2-6) | 0%(0-8) | 0%(0-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
5/22Vargas is batting just .113 (6-for-53) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like McDonald over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
5/20Vargas batted just .241 (60-for-249) when hitting on the road over the last year.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
5/19Vargas is batting just .185 (25-for-135) against bottom tier right-handers like Miller over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
35-100-2 Over49g · 137 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/20 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/20 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +900 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/18 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/18 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 5/18 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +120 |
| 5/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +700 |
| 5/17 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 5/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 5/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +775 |
| 5/16 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/13 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 5/13 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 5/13 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/12 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +650 |
| 5/12 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +110 |
| 5/12 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 5/10 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/10 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +141 |
| 5/10 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +725 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +4000 |
| 5/8 | vs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +150 |
| 5/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +900 |
| 5/8 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +6000 |
| 5/6 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/6 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 5/6 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 5/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +525 |
| 5/5 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -105 |
| 5/5 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +2700 |
| 5/4 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +850 |
| 5/4 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 5/4 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +137 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 52.1% of the time in 2026, going 25-23-1 with an average actual of 0.7.
Is Miguel Vargas over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Miguel Vargas over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$873 (+17.82% ROI). The hit rate is 52.1% with an average actual of 0.7.
What is Miguel Vargas's runs scored average this season?
Miguel Vargas averages 0.7 runs scored per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge