
73.6% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.565.9% TB O 0.5
Season
All Miguel Vargas propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
90g48.9%Over: 43-45-2
2vs O 0.5+103
@
Guardians7/5
✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 60.5%(43)A: 36.2%(47)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 0%(0-6) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 68.8%(11-5) | 18.8%(3-13) | 37.5%(6-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 73.9%(17-6) | 21.7%(5-18) | 39.1%(9-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(18-9) | 33.3%(9-18) | 44.4%(12-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.2%(7-10) | 5.9%(1-16) | 5.9%(1-16) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
7/7Vargas is slugging .494 in 320 AB's this season.
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
7/5Vargas is batting just .200 (1-5) against Bibee.
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
7/4Vargas is slugging .500 against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .190 (12-for-63) against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Messick.
Game Log
Bet
$
61-212-5 Over90g · 278 props
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Miguel Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 48.9% of the time in 2026, going 43-45-2 with an average actual of 0.7.
Is Miguel Vargas over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Miguel Vargas over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$659 (+7.32% ROI). The hit rate is 48.9% with an average actual of 0.7.
What is Miguel Vargas's runs scored average this season?
Miguel Vargas averages 0.7 runs scored per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge