Miguel Vargas

Chicago White SoxPosition Player•2026

Reg0.245 / 20 HR / 56 RBI / 79 H / 11 SB / 89G

72.7% HRR O 0.565.2% H O 0.565.2% TB O 0.5

Season

All Miguel Vargas props

Props — 202691 games with closing lines

Home Runs

91g

avg 0.2

20.2%Over: 18-71-2

0vs O 0.5+340

Red Sox7/7

✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✗

H: 22.7%(44)A: 17%(47)

SeasonalityAll lines

20%

19%

21%

19%

17%

Mar
1-4

Apr
5-21

May
6-22

Jun
5-21

Jul
1-5

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.6★★★★★

5-Star Games

6(7%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	83.3%(5-1)	0%(0-6)	33.3%(2-4)
★★★★★	64.7%(11-6)	17.6%(3-14)	35.3%(6-11)
★★★★★	73.9%(17-6)	21.7%(5-18)	39.1%(9-14)
★★★★★	66.7%(18-9)	33.3%(9-18)	44.4%(12-15)
★★★★★	41.2%(7-10)	5.9%(1-16)	5.9%(1-16)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Payton Tolle

7/7

Vargas is slugging .494 in 320 AB's this season.

★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee

7/5

Vargas is batting just .200 (1-5) against Bibee.

★★★★★vs Parker Messick

7/4

Vargas is slugging .500 against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .190 (12-for-63) against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Messick.

Game Log

Bet

20-183-4 Over91g · 207 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	vsRed Sox	O 1.5	0	L	+3500
7/7	vsRed Sox	O 0.5	0	L	+340
7/7	vsRed Sox	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/5	@Guardians	O 1.5	0	L	+3800
7/5	@Guardians	O 0.5	0	L	+372
7/5	@Guardians	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/4	@Guardians	O 1.5	0	L	+4500
7/4	@Guardians	O 0.5	0	L	+475
7/4	@Guardians	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/3	@Guardians	O 1.5	1	L	+4000
7/3	@Guardians	O 0.5	1	W	+450
7/3	@Guardians	O 2.5	1	L	—
7/2	@Guardians	O 1.5	0	L	+3500
7/2	@Guardians	O 0.5	0	L	+360
7/2	@Guardians	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/1	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	L	+3400
7/1	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	L	+335
7/1	@Orioles	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/30	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	L	+3300
6/30	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	L	+340
6/30	@Orioles	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/29	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	L	+3300
6/29	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	L	+320
6/29	@Orioles	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/28	vsRoyals	O 1.5	1	L	+4500
6/28	vsRoyals	O 0.5	1	W	+415
6/28	vsRoyals	O 2.5	1	L	—
6/27	vsRoyals	O 1.5	0	L	+3700
6/27	vsRoyals	O 0.5	0	L	+375
6/27	vsRoyals	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/26	vsRoyals	O 1.5	1	L	+4000
6/26	vsRoyals	O 0.5	1	W	+390
6/26	vsRoyals	O 2.5	1	L	—
6/24	vsGuardians	O 1.5	0	L	+3500
6/24	vsGuardians	O 0.5	0	L	+350
6/24	vsGuardians	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/23	vsGuardians	O 1.5	1	L	+4200
6/23	vsGuardians	O 0.5	1	W	+440
6/23	vsGuardians	O 2.5	1	L	—
6/22	vsGuardians	O 1.5	0	L	+4500
6/22	vsGuardians	O 0.5	0	L	+425
6/22	vsGuardians	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/21	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	L	+3500
6/21	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	L	+475
6/21	@Tigers	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/20	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	L	+360
6/20	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	L	+3500
6/20	@Tigers	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/19	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	L	+4500
6/19	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	L	+441

Chicago White Sox Teammates

View all

Colson Montgomery Chase Meidroth Tristan Peters Andrew Benintendi Sam Antonacci Munetaka Murakami Edgar Quero Drew Romo Lenyn Sosa Derek Hill Randal Grichuk Jacob Gonzalez Braden Montgomery Everson Pereira Jarred Kelenic

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Miguel Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Miguel Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 20.2% of the time in 2026, going 18-71-2 with an average actual of 0.2.

Is Miguel Vargas over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 91 games in 2026, betting $100 on Miguel Vargas over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$2,504 (+27.52% ROI). The hit rate is 20.2% with an average actual of 0.2.

What is Miguel Vargas's home runs average this season?

Miguel Vargas averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 91 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.