New York Yankees80% K O 3.571.4% BBA O 1.560% ER O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Max Fried goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 88.9% of the time (8-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fried's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 18.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/13Current Orioles hitters are batting .226 against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Fried over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/8Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Fried.
★★★★★vs Trey Gibson
5/3Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Fried have an ERA of 3.58 against the Orioles since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
52-79 Over131 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +142 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +280 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -930 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -3700 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +550 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -340 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -146 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 2 | L | +1500 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 2 | L | +840 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 9 | L | -178 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 5/13 | @Orioles | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 9 | L | +127 |
| 5/8 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +110 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +770 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +396 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -450 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +210 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +130 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1500 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | +1620 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1200 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +124 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -169 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -172 |
| 5/8 | @Brewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -185 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -175 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -144 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -4000 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -950 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -330 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +152 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +300 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +580 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +850 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 6 | L | +1580 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +141 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -131 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -102 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -151 |
| 4/27 | @ Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -135 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -2900 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -650 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -275 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +148 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +300 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +580 |
| 4/27 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -156 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Fried hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Max Fried hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$55.
How often does Max Fried hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Max Fried hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$42.
How often does Max Fried hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Max Fried hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$156.
How often does Max Fried hit the over on outs recorded 18.5?
Max Fried hits the over on outs recorded 18.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 17.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$254.
How often does Max Fried hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Max Fried hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$139.
What are Max Fried's best prop bets in 2026?
Max Fried's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 80% (8-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 60% (6-4).
Inside Edge