
80% K O 3.571.4% BBA O 1.560% ER O 1.5
Season
All Max Fried propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
9g44.4%Over: 4-5
9vs O 18.5+127
@
Orioles5/13
✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 0%(2)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fried's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 18.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/13Current Orioles hitters are batting .226 against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Fried over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/8Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Fried.
★★★★★vs Trey Gibson
5/3Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Fried have an ERA of 3.58 against the Orioles since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-8 Over9g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | @ | O 17.5 | 9 | L | -178 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 18.5 | 9 | L | +127 |
| 5/8 | @ | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +130 |
| 5/8 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -172 |
| 5/3 | vs | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -175 |
| 5/3 | vs | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +141 |
| 4/27 | @ | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +111 |
| 4/22 | @ | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -220 |
| 4/22 | @ | O 18.5 | 24 | W | +124 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +115 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -170 |
| 4/11 | @ | O 18.5 | 24 | W | +122 |
| 3/31 | @ | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -136 |
| 3/25 | @ | O 16.5 | 19 | W | +100 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Fried hit the over on outs recorded 18.5?
Max Fried hits the over on outs recorded 18.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 17.9.
Is Max Fried over 18.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Max Fried over 18.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$80 (-8.89% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 17.9.
What is Max Fried's outs recorded average this season?
Max Fried averages 17.9 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 18.5.

Inside Edge