New York Yankees80% K O 3.571.4% BBA O 1.560% ER O 1.5
Season
All Max Fried propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
10g50%Over: 5-5
5vs O 4.5-140
@
Orioles5/13
Orioles5/13✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fried's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 18.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/13Current Orioles hitters are batting .226 against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Fried over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/8Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Fried.
★★★★★vs Trey Gibson
5/3Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Fried have an ERA of 3.58 against the Orioles since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-8 Over10g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 5/8 | @ Brewers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +124 |
| 5/3 | vsOrioles | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -102 |
| 4/27 | @ Rangers | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +116 |
| 4/22 | @ Red Sox | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -164 |
| 4/22 | @Red Sox | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +122 |
| 4/16 | vs Angels | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 4/16 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 4/11 | @ Rays | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 4/5 | vs Marlins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 3/31 | @ Mariners | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -101 |
| 3/25 | @ Giants | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 3/25 | @Giants | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Fried hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Max Fried hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.9.
Is Max Fried over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Max Fried over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$17 (-1.7% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 3.9.
What is Max Fried's hits allowed average this season?
Max Fried averages 3.9 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge