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Players/MLB/Miami Marlins/Matt Mervis
Matt Mervis

Matt Mervis

Miami Marlins•2025
.175AVG7HR14RBI15R21H0SB42G
.175AVG7HR14RBI15R21H0SB42G
45.9% H O 0.535.1% R O 0.531% HRR O 1.5
Season

Props — 202537 games with closing lines

Hits

37g
avg 0.5
45.9%Over: 17-20
0vs O 0.5-105
@Padres5/26
✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 52.9%(17)A: 40%(20)

RBIs

37g
avg 0.2
16.2%Over: 6-31
0vs O 0.5+240
@Padres5/26
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 23.5%(17)A: 10%(20)

Home Runs

37g
avg 0.1
13.5%Over: 5-32
0vs O 0.5+650
@Padres5/26
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 17.6%(17)A: 10%(20)

Runs Scored

37g
avg 0.4
35.1%Over: 13-24
0vs O 0.5+200
@Padres5/26
✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 41.2%(17)A: 30%(20)

Total Bases

37g
avg 1
24.3%Over: 9-28
0vs O 1.5+230
@Padres5/26
✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 29.4%(17)A: 20%(20)

Walks

37g
avg 0.3
27%Over: 10-27
0vs O 0.5+265
@Padres5/26
✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 35.3%(17)A: 20%(20)

Doubles

37g
avg 0.1
10.8%Over: 4-33
0vs O 0.5+650
@Padres5/26
✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 11.8%(17)A: 10%(20)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

37g
avg 1.1
29.7%Over: 11-26
0vs O 0.5-150
@Padres5/26
✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 41.7%(12)A: 23.5%(17)

Singles

37g
avg 0.2
27%Over: 10-27
0vs O 0.5+180
@Padres5/26
✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 23.5%(17)A: 30%(20)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
56
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mervis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(3-3)33.3%(2-4)33.3%(2-4)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)28.6%(2-5)14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)11.1%(1-8)11.1%(1-8)
★★★★★42.9%(6-8)7.1%(1-13)7.1%(1-13)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/30

Matchup data is limited but favors Mervis.

★★★★★vs Kyle Hart
5/28

Matchup data is limited but favors Hart.

★★★★★vs Stephen Kolek
5/27

Mervis is batting just .154 (2-for-13) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Kolek over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
147-568 Over715 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/26@PadresHitsO 1.50L+550
5/26@PadresHitsO 2.50L+3800
5/26@PadresHitsO 0.50L-105
5/26@PadresHome RunsO 0.50L+650
5/26@PadresHome RunsO 1.50L+9500
5/26@PadresRBIsO 0.50L+240
5/26@PadresRBIsO 2.50L+2600
5/26@PadresRBIsO 1.50L+850
5/26@PadresRuns ScoredO 0.50L+200
5/26@PadresRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1600
5/26@PadresTotal BasesO 2.50L+450
5/26@PadresTotal BasesO 1.50L+230
5/26@PadresTotal BasesO 0.50L-120
5/26@PadresWalksO 0.50L+265
5/26@PadresDoublesO 0.50L+650
5/26@PadresSinglesO 0.50L+180
5/26@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-150
5/25@AngelsHitsO 1.51L+430
5/25@AngelsHitsO 0.51W-140
5/25@AngelsHitsO 2.51L+2600
5/25@AngelsHome RunsO 0.50L+390
5/25@AngelsHome RunsO 1.50L+4000
5/25@AngelsRBIsO 1.50L+500
5/25@AngelsRBIsO 0.50L+195
5/25@AngelsRBIsO 3.50L+3800
5/25@AngelsRBIsO 2.50L+1300
5/25@AngelsRuns ScoredO 0.51W+155
5/25@AngelsRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1000
5/25@AngelsTotal BasesO 3.52L+340
5/25@AngelsTotal BasesO 4.52L+850
5/25@AngelsTotal BasesO 2.52L+270
5/25@AngelsTotal BasesO 1.52W+165
5/25@AngelsTotal BasesO 0.52W-140
5/25@AngelsWalksO 0.50L+255
5/25@AngelsDoublesO 0.51W+650
5/25@AngelsSinglesO 0.50L+175
5/25@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W+130
5/24@AngelsHitsO 0.50L-110
5/24@AngelsHitsO 1.50L+500
5/24@AngelsHitsO 2.50L+3200
5/24@AngelsHome RunsO 1.50L+8000
5/24@AngelsHome RunsO 0.50L+600
5/24@AngelsRBIsO 2.50L+1800
5/24@AngelsRBIsO 1.50L+700
5/24@AngelsRBIsO 0.50L+250
5/24@AngelsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+210
5/24@AngelsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1300
5/24@AngelsTotal BasesO 1.50L+210
5/24@AngelsTotal BasesO 2.50L+390
5/24@AngelsTotal BasesO 0.50L-115

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on hits 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on hits 0.5 45.9% of the time in 2025, going 17-20 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$471.
How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on rbis 0.5 16.2% of the time in 2025, going 6-31 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,800.
How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.5% of the time in 2025, going 5-32 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$230.
How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on runs scored 0.5 35.1% of the time in 2025, going 13-24 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$200.
How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on total bases 1.5 24.3% of the time in 2025, going 9-28 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,020.
What are Matt Mervis's best prop bets in 2025?
Matt Mervis's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits O 0.5 at 45.9% (17-20); Runs Scored O 0.5 at 35.1% (13-24); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 31% (9-20).

Matt Mervis 2025 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.37 games analyzed across 9 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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