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Players/MLB/Miami Marlins/Matt Mervis/Home Runs
Matt Mervis

Matt Mervis

Miami Marlins•2025
.175AVG7HR14RBI15R21H0SB42G
.175AVG7HR14RBI15R21H0SB42G
45.9% H O 0.535.1% R O 0.531% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Matt Mervis props

Props — 202537 games with closing lines

Home Runs

37g
avg 0.1
13.5%Over: 5-32
0vs O 0.5+650
@Padres5/26
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 17.6%(17)A: 10%(20)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
25%
0%
Mar
0-2
Apr
5-15
May
0-15
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
56
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mervis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(3-3)33.3%(2-4)33.3%(2-4)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)28.6%(2-5)14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)11.1%(1-8)11.1%(1-8)
★★★★★42.9%(6-8)7.1%(1-13)7.1%(1-13)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/30

Matchup data is limited but favors Mervis.

★★★★★vs Kyle Hart
5/28

Matchup data is limited but favors Hart.

★★★★★vs Stephen Kolek
5/27

Mervis is batting just .154 (2-for-13) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Kolek over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
6-61 Over37g · 67 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
5/26@PadresO 0.50L+650
5/26@PadresO 1.50L+9500
5/25@AngelsO 0.50L+390
5/25@AngelsO 1.50L+4000
5/24@AngelsO 1.50L+8000
5/24@AngelsO 0.50L+600
5/21vsCubsO 0.50L+525
5/20vsCubsO 0.50L+470
5/20vsCubsO 1.50L+6000
5/18vsRaysO 0.50L+600
5/18vsRaysO 1.50L+7000
5/17vsRaysO 1.50L+8500
5/17vsRaysO 0.50L+625
5/14@CubsO 0.50L+600
5/13@CubsO 0.50L+750
5/13@CubsO 1.50L+12000
5/12@CubsO 0.50L+575
5/11@White SoxO 0.50L+460
5/11@White SoxO 1.50L+6000
5/7vsDodgersO 0.50L+475
5/7vsDodgersO 1.50L+5500
5/6vsDodgersO 1.50L+9500
5/6vsDodgersO 0.50L+630
5/3vsAthleticsO 1.50L+4400
5/3vsAthleticsO 0.50L+420
5/2vsAthleticsO 0.50L+450
4/30@DodgersO 0.50L+560
4/28@DodgersO 0.50L+680
4/28@DodgersO 1.50L+10000
4/27@MarinersO 1.50L+7000
4/27@MarinersO 0.50L+500
4/26@MarinersO 1.50L+6000
4/26@MarinersO 0.50L+450
4/25@MarinersO 0.50L+470
4/25@MarinersO 1.50L+6000
4/23vsRedsO 0.51W+470
4/23vsRedsO 1.51L+5500
4/22vsRedsO 0.50L+600
4/22vsRedsO 1.50L+9000
4/20@PhilliesO 1.50L+12000
4/20@PhilliesO 0.50L+900
4/19@PhilliesO 0.50L+390
4/18@PhilliesO 0.50L+480
4/18@PhilliesO 1.50L+6000
4/16vsDiamondbacksO 0.51W+550
4/16vsDiamondbacksO 1.51L+7000
4/15vsDiamondbacksO 1.50L+8500
4/15vsDiamondbacksO 0.50L+540
4/12vsNationalsO 0.51W+520
4/12vsNationalsO 1.51L+8000

Miami Marlins Teammates

View all
Otto LopezXavier EdwardsAgustín RamírezEric WagamanKyle StowersLiam HicksDane MyersJavier SanojaConnor NorbyNick FortesJakob MarseeGraham PauleyTroy JohnstonDerek HillJonah Bride

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.5% of the time in 2025, going 5-32 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Matt Mervis over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 37 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Mervis over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$230 (-6.22% ROI). The hit rate is 13.5% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Matt Mervis's home runs average this season?
Matt Mervis averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2025 across 37 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Matt Mervis 2025 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.37 games analyzed across 9 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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