Matt Mervis

Miami MarlinsPosition Player•2025

Reg0.175 / 7 HR / 14 RBI / 21 H / 0 SB / 42G

51.4% HRR O 0.545.9% H O 0.545.9% TB O 0.5

Season

All Matt Mervis props

Props — 202537 games with closing lines

Home Runs

37g

avg 0.1

13.5%Over: 5-32

0vs O 0.5+650

Padres5/26

✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 17.6%(17)A: 10%(20)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-2

Apr

25%5-15

May

0%0-15

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(2%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mervis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	50%(3-3)	33.3%(2-4)	33.3%(2-4)
★★★★★	57.1%(4-3)	28.6%(2-5)	14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★	44.4%(4-5)	11.1%(1-8)	11.1%(1-8)
★★★★★	42.9%(6-8)	7.1%(1-13)	7.1%(1-13)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison

5/30

Matchup data is limited but favors Mervis.

★★★★★vs Kyle Hart

5/28

Matchup data is limited but favors Hart.

★★★★★vs Stephen Kolek

5/27

Mervis is batting just .154 (2-for-13) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Kolek over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

6-61 Over37g · 67 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/26	@Padres	O 0.5	0	L	+650
5/26	@Padres	O 1.5	0	L	+9500
5/25	@Angels	O 0.5	0	L	+390
5/25	@Angels	O 1.5	0	L	+4000
5/24	@Angels	O 1.5	0	L	+8000
5/24	@Angels	O 0.5	0	L	+600
5/21	vsCubs	O 0.5	0	L	+525
5/20	vsCubs	O 0.5	0	L	+470
5/20	vsCubs	O 1.5	0	L	+6000
5/18	vsRays	O 0.5	0	L	+600
5/18	vsRays	O 1.5	0	L	+7000
5/17	vsRays	O 1.5	0	L	+8500
5/17	vsRays	O 0.5	0	L	+625
5/14	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	+600
5/13	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	+750
5/13	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	+12000
5/12	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	+575
5/11	@White Sox	O 0.5	0	L	+460
5/11	@White Sox	O 1.5	0	L	+6000
5/7	vsDodgers	O 0.5	0	L	+475
5/7	vsDodgers	O 1.5	0	L	+5500
5/6	vsDodgers	O 1.5	0	L	+9500
5/6	vsDodgers	O 0.5	0	L	+630
5/3	vsAthletics	O 1.5	0	L	+4400
5/3	vsAthletics	O 0.5	0	L	+420
5/2	vsAthletics	O 0.5	0	L	+450
4/30	@Dodgers	O 0.5	0	L	+560
4/28	@Dodgers	O 0.5	0	L	+680
4/28	@Dodgers	O 1.5	0	L	+10000
4/27	@Mariners	O 1.5	0	L	+7000
4/27	@Mariners	O 0.5	0	L	+500
4/26	@Mariners	O 1.5	0	L	+6000
4/26	@Mariners	O 0.5	0	L	+450
4/25	@Mariners	O 0.5	0	L	+470
4/25	@Mariners	O 1.5	0	L	+6000
4/23	vsReds	O 0.5	1	W	+470
4/23	vsReds	O 1.5	1	L	+5500
4/22	vsReds	O 0.5	0	L	+600
4/22	vsReds	O 1.5	0	L	+9000
4/20	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	L	+12000
4/20	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+900
4/19	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+390
4/18	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+480
4/18	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	L	+6000
4/16	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	1	W	+550
4/16	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	1	L	+7000
4/15	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	0	L	+8500
4/15	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	0	L	+540
4/12	vsNationals	O 0.5	1	W	+520
4/12	vsNationals	O 1.5	1	L	+8000

Miami Marlins Teammates

View all

Otto Lopez Xavier Edwards Agustín Ramírez Eric Wagaman Kyle Stowers Liam Hicks Dane Myers Javier Sanoja Connor Norby Nick Fortes Jakob Marsee Graham Pauley Troy Johnston Derek Hill Jonah Bride

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Matt Mervis hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.5% of the time in 2025, going 5-32 with an average actual of 0.2.

Is Matt Mervis over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 37 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Mervis over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$230 (-6.22% ROI). The hit rate is 13.5% with an average actual of 0.2.

What is Matt Mervis's home runs average this season?

Matt Mervis averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2025 across 37 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.