Inside Edge
Miami Marlins51.4% HRR O 0.545.9% H O 0.545.9% TB O 0.5
Season
All Matt Mervis propsProps — 202537 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
37g35.1%Over: 13-24
0vs O 0.5+200
@
Padres5/26
Padres5/26✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 41.2%(17)A: 30%(20)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
56Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mervis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 11.1%(1-8) | 11.1%(1-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(6-8) | 7.1%(1-13) | 7.1%(1-13) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/30Matchup data is limited but favors Mervis.
★★★★★vs Kyle Hart
5/28Matchup data is limited but favors Hart.
★★★★★vs Stephen Kolek
5/27Mervis is batting just .154 (2-for-13) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Kolek over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
14-59 Over37g · 73 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/26 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/26 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/25 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +155 |
| 5/25 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 5/24 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/24 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/21 | vs Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/21 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/20 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 5/20 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/18 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 5/18 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +165 |
| 5/17 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 5/17 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/14 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +225 |
| 5/14 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/13 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +220 |
| 5/12 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/12 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/11 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +190 |
| 5/11 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 5/7 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 5/7 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/6 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +175 |
| 5/6 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 5/3 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 5/3 | vsAthletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/3 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 5/2 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 5/2 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/30 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 4/30 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +235 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/27 | @ Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 4/27 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/26 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/26 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +190 |
| 4/25 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 4/25 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +210 |
| 4/23 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 4/23 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +145 |
| 4/22 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 4/22 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/20 | @ Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +330 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +950 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +115 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/16 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +175 |
Miami Marlins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Mervis hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Mervis hits the over on runs scored 0.5 35.1% of the time in 2025, going 13-24 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Matt Mervis over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 37 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Mervis over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$200 (-5.41% ROI). The hit rate is 35.1% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Matt Mervis's runs scored average this season?
Matt Mervis averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2025 across 37 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.