Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

San Francisco GiantsPosition Player2026
Reg0.225 / 1 HR / 16 RBI / 41 H / 0 SB / 48G
68.1% SO O 0.564.6% HRR O 0.559.6% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Matt Chapman goes over 0.5 strikeouts 68.1% of the time (32-15-3)

Props — 202650 games with closing lines

Hits

50g
avg 0.7
59.6%Over: 28-19-3
2vs O 0.5-165
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 54.5%(22)A: 55.6%(27)

RBIs

50g
avg 0.2
27.7%Over: 13-34-3
0vs O 0.5+218
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 27.3%(22)A: 25.9%(27)
avg 0
2.1%Over: 1-47-2
0vs O 0.5+710
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 0%(22)A: 3.7%(27)
avg 0.3
40.4%Over: 19-28-3
2vs O 0.5+141
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 31.8%(22)A: 40.7%(27)
avg 0.4
27.7%Over: 13-34-3
0vs O 0.5+147
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 31.8%(22)A: 18.5%(27)
avg 0
0%Over: 0-47-3
0vs O 0.5+1000
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 0%(22)A: 0%(27)
avg 0.9
33.3%Over: 16-32-2
2vs O 1.5+160
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 27.3%(22)A: 33.3%(27)
avg 1.1
68.1%Over: 32-15-3
0vs O 0.5-195
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 63.6%(22)A: 63%(27)
avg 0.3
20.8%Over: 10-38-2
0vs O 0.5+470
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 22.7%(22)A: 14.8%(27)
avg 1.2
64.6%Over: 31-17-2
4vs O 0.5-245
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 63.6%(22)A: 59.3%(27)
avg 0.4
47.9%Over: 23-25-2
2vs O 0.5+120
@Diamondbacks5/20
H: 45.5%(22)A: 44.4%(27)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3
5-Star Games
10(20%)
Total Matchups
49
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Chapman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
72.7%(8-3)27.3%(3-8)9.1%(1-10)
81.8%(9-2)36.4%(4-7)0%(0-11)
71.4%(5-2)42.9%(3-4)0%(0-7)
0%(0-7)0%(0-7)0%(0-7)
41.7%(5-7)16.7%(2-10)0%(0-12)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Davis Martin
5/22

Chapman is batting .327 (48-for-147) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Martin over the last 2 seasons.

vs Merrill Kelly
5/20

Chapman is slugging .476 in his last 163 PA's against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Kelly over the last 2 seasons.

vs Ryne Nelson
5/19

Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .507 against right-handed batters who hit for power like Chapman over the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet
$
311-1221-74 Over1606 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/20@DiamondbacksDoublesO 0.50L+470
5/20@DiamondbacksHitsO 1.52W+340
5/20@DiamondbacksHitsO 2.52L+1900
5/20@DiamondbacksHitsO 3.52L+12500
5/20@DiamondbacksHitsO 0.52W-165
5/20@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.54W+217
5/20@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.54W-245
5/20@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.54W+430
5/20@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.54W+106
5/20@DiamondbacksHome RunsO 0.50L+710
5/20@DiamondbacksRBIsO 1.50L+690
5/20@DiamondbacksHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
5/20@DiamondbacksRBIsO 0.50L+218
5/20@DiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 0.52W+141
5/20@DiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 1.52W+950
5/20@DiamondbacksStolen BasesO 0.50L+1000
5/20@DiamondbacksSinglesO 0.52W+120
5/20@DiamondbacksTotal BasesO 1.52W+160
5/20@DiamondbacksTotal BasesO 2.52L+340
5/20@DiamondbacksTotal BasesO 4.52L+1200
5/20@DiamondbacksTotal BasesO 3.52L+514
5/20@DiamondbacksStrikeoutsO 0.50L-195
5/20@DiamondbacksStrikeoutsO 1.50L+306
5/20@DiamondbacksWalksO 1.50L+1020
5/20@DiamondbacksWalksO 0.50L+147
5/20@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.54L+800
5/20@DiamondbacksSinglesO 1.52W+650
5/20@DiamondbacksRBIsO 4.50L+5000
5/20@DiamondbacksRBIsO 3.50L+5500
5/20@DiamondbacksRBIsO 2.50L+2000
5/20@DiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 2.52L+6000
5/20@DiamondbacksTotal BasesO 0.52W-175
5/20@DiamondbacksStolen BasesO 1.50L+12500
5/19@DiamondbacksDoublesO 0.50L+420
5/19@DiamondbacksHitsO 0.51W-175
5/19@DiamondbacksHitsO 2.51L+1800
5/19@DiamondbacksHitsO 1.51L+310
5/19@DiamondbacksHitsO 3.51L+10000
5/19@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.52L+200
5/19@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.52L+400
5/19@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.52W-235
5/19@DiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W+100
5/19@DiamondbacksHome RunsO 1.50L+6500
5/19@DiamondbacksRBIsO 1.50L+600
5/19@DiamondbacksHome RunsO 0.50L+570
5/19@DiamondbacksRBIsO 0.50L+200
5/19@DiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 0.51W+130
5/19@DiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 1.51L+950
5/19@DiamondbacksSinglesO 0.51W+130
5/19@DiamondbacksStolen BasesO 0.50L+1400

San Francisco Giants Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on hits 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on hits 0.5 59.6% of the time in 2026, going 28-19-3 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$331.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-34-3 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$807.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on home runs 0.5 2.1% of the time in 2026, going 1-47-2 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$4,211.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40.4% of the time in 2026, going 19-28-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$307.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on walks 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on walks 0.5 27.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-34-3 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,583.
What are Matt Chapman's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Chapman's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 68.1% (32-15); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 64.6% (31-17); Hits O 0.5 at 59.6% (28-19).

Matt Chapman 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.50 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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Matt Chapman 2026 Props | LineTerminal