
63% SO O 0.562.7% HRR O 0.555.4% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Matt Chapman goes over 0.5 strikeouts 63% of the time (51-30-4)
Props — 202688 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
88g34.9%Over: 29-54-5
0vs O 0.5+125
@
Diamondbacks7/1
P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 30%(40)A: 34.8%(46)
Total Bases
88g34.5%Over: 29-55-4
0vs O 1.5+135
@
Diamondbacks7/1
P✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 32.5%(40)A: 32.6%(46)
avg 2
62.7%Over: 52-31-4
0vs O 0.5-270
@
Diamondbacks7/1
P✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✗
H: 65%(40)A: 54.3%(46)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
20(14%)
Total Matchups
144Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Chapman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(14-7) | 33.3%(7-14) | 14.3%(3-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 76.9%(10-3) | 30.8%(4-9) | 0%(0-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 38.5%(5-8) | 0%(0-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(5-10) | 26.7%(4-11) | 13.3%(2-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(8-14) | 22.7%(5-17) | 0%(0-22) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/1Chapman is batting just .059 (1-17) against Gallen.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
6/30Chapman is batting just .093 in his last 43 AB's.
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
6/29Chapman is slugging .654 in his last 31 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Rodriguez over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
559-2216-142 Over2917 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/1 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +420 |
| 7/1 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -195 |
| 7/1 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +290 |
| 7/1 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -110 |
| 7/1 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -270 |
| 7/1 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +8000 |
| 7/1 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +560 |
| 7/1 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +600 |
| 7/1 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +175 |
| 7/1 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +950 |
| 7/1 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +125 |
| 7/1 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -105 |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +290 |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +135 |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +450 |
| 7/1 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 7/1 | @ | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/1 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 6/30 | @ | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +162 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -235 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +375 |
| 6/30 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +397 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
| 6/30 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 6/30 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/30 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 6/30 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +620 |
| 6/30 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +203 |
| 6/30 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 6/30 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 6/30 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 6/30 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/30 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/30 | @ | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +498 |
| 6/30 | @ | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +321 |
San Francisco Giants Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on hits 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on hits 0.5 55.4% of the time in 2026, going 46-37-5 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,102.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on rbis 0.5 31.7% of the time in 2026, going 26-56-5 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$431.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on home runs 0.5 6% of the time in 2026, going 5-79-4 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$4,970.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on runs scored 0.5 34.9% of the time in 2026, going 29-54-5 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,641.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on total bases 1.5 34.5% of the time in 2026, going 29-55-4 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,101.
What are Matt Chapman's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Chapman's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 63% (51-30); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 62.7% (52-31); Hits O 0.5 at 55.4% (46-37).

Inside Edge