
68.1% SO O 0.564.6% HRR O 0.559.6% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Matt Chapman goes over 0.5 strikeouts 68.1% of the time (32-15-3)
Props — 202650 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
50g40.4%Over: 19-28-3
2vs O 0.5+141
@
Diamondbacks5/20
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 31.8%(22)A: 40.7%(27)
Total Bases
50g33.3%Over: 16-32-2
2vs O 1.5+160
@
Diamondbacks5/20
✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 27.3%(22)A: 33.3%(27)
Strikeouts
50g68.1%Over: 32-15-3
0vs O 0.5-195
@
Diamondbacks5/20
✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 63.6%(22)A: 63%(27)
avg 1.2
64.6%Over: 31-17-2
4vs O 0.5-245
@
Diamondbacks5/20
✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✓✓
H: 63.6%(22)A: 59.3%(27)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(20%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Chapman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 72.7%(8-3) | 27.3%(3-8) | 9.1%(1-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(9-2) | 36.4%(4-7) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 42.9%(3-4) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.7%(5-7) | 16.7%(2-10) | 0%(0-12) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
5/22Chapman is batting .327 (48-for-147) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Martin over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
5/20Chapman is slugging .476 in his last 163 PA's against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Kelly over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Ryne Nelson
5/19Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .507 against right-handed batters who hit for power like Chapman over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
311-1221-74 Over1606 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +340 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1900 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +12500 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +217 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 4 | W | -245 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +430 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +106 |
| 5/20 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/20 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +690 |
| 5/20 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +218 |
| 5/20 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +141 |
| 5/20 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +950 |
| 5/20 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/20 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
| 5/20 | @ | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +160 |
| 5/20 | @ | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +340 |
| 5/20 | @ | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +1200 |
| 5/20 | @ | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +514 |
| 5/20 | @ | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -195 |
| 5/20 | @ | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +306 |
| 5/20 | @ | Walks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 5/20 | @ | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +147 |
| 5/20 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +800 |
| 5/20 | @ | Singles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +650 |
| 5/20 | @ | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/20 | @ | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/20 | @ | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/20 | @ | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +6000 |
| 5/20 | @ | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 5/20 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/19 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +420 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -175 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +310 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +200 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +400 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -235 |
| 5/19 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +100 |
| 5/19 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/19 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/19 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +570 |
| 5/19 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/19 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 5/19 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +950 |
| 5/19 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 5/19 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
San Francisco Giants Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on hits 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on hits 0.5 59.6% of the time in 2026, going 28-19-3 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$331.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-34-3 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$807.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on home runs 0.5 2.1% of the time in 2026, going 1-47-2 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$4,211.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40.4% of the time in 2026, going 19-28-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$307.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on walks 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on walks 0.5 27.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-34-3 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,583.
What are Matt Chapman's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Chapman's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 68.1% (32-15); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 64.6% (31-17); Hits O 0.5 at 59.6% (28-19).

Inside Edge