
68.1% SO O 0.564.6% HRR O 0.559.6% H O 0.5
Season
All Matt Chapman propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
50g40.4%Over: 19-28-3
2vs O 0.5+141
@
Diamondbacks5/20
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 31.8%(22)A: 40.7%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(20%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Chapman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 72.7%(8-3) | 27.3%(3-8) | 9.1%(1-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(9-2) | 36.4%(4-7) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 42.9%(3-4) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.7%(5-7) | 16.7%(2-10) | 0%(0-12) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
5/22Chapman is batting .327 (48-for-147) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Martin over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
5/20Chapman is slugging .476 in his last 163 PA's against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Kelly over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Ryne Nelson
5/19Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .507 against right-handed batters who hit for power like Chapman over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
21-114-7 Over49g · 142 props
San Francisco Giants Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40.4% of the time in 2026, going 19-28-3 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Matt Chapman over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matt Chapman over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$307 (-6.14% ROI). The hit rate is 40.4% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Matt Chapman's runs scored average this season?
Matt Chapman averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge