Luis Severino

AthleticsPitcher•2026

Reg4.24 ERA / 65 K / 61.5 IP / 9.5 K/9 / 12G

66.7% K O 3.550% BBA O 2.545.5% HA O 5.5

Season

Best Performer

Luis Severino goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 90% of the time (9-1-1)

Props — 202613 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

13g

avg 5

66.7%Over: 8-4-1

1vs O 3.5-419

Yankees5/29

✗P✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✓

H: 50%(6)A: 71.4%(7)

Earned Runs

13g

avg 2.2

33.3%Over: 4-8-1

0vs O 2.5-160

Yankees5/29

✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓

H: 50%(6)A: 14.3%(7)

Hits Allowed

13g

avg 4.7

41.7%Over: 5-7-1

3vs O 5.5+110

Yankees5/29

✗P✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓

H: 33.3%(6)A: 50%(6)

Walks Allowed

12g

avg 2.6

66.7%Over: 8-4

0vs O 2.5+109

Yankees5/29

✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✓

H: 66.7%(3)A: 40%(5)

Outs Recorded

11g

avg 14.8

50%Over: 5-5-1

3vs O 16.5-104

Yankees5/29

✗P✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓

H: 40%(5)A: 33.3%(3)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(8%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 2.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	—
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	—	—
★★★★★	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)	20%(1-4)	50%(1-1)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	80%(4-1)	40%(2-3)	75%(3-1)	75%(3-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón

5/29

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Severino have an ERA of 4.56 against the Yankees over the last year.

★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock

5/26

Mariners hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.

★★★★★vs Jose Soriano

5/21

Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet

75-70-15 Over160 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	1	L	+119
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	1	L	-419
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	1	L	-1320
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	1	L	+501
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	1	L	-177
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	1	L	+241
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	1	L	+1780
5/29	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	1	L	+1000
5/29	vsYankees	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	3	L	-120
5/29	vsYankees	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	3	L	+110
5/29	vsYankees	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-160
5/29	vsYankees	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	3	L	-104
5/29	vsYankees	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	0	L	+109
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	0	P	+429
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	0	P	-473
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	0	P	-1560
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	0	P	-201
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	0	P	+105
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	0	P	+210
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	0	P	+840
5/26	vsMariners	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	0	P	-102
5/26	vsMariners	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	0	P	+1600
5/26	vsMariners	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	0	P	+101
5/26	vsMariners	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	P	-130
5/26	vsMariners	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	0	P	-137
5/26	vsMariners	Earned Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+125
5/26	vsMariners	Outs Recorded	O 3.5	0	P	+105
5/26	vsMariners	Outs Recorded	O 5.5	0	P	+100
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	10	W	-132
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	10	W	+630
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	10	W	+162
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	10	W	-2600
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	10	W	+320
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	10	W	-291
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	10	W	-700
5/21	@Angels	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	21	W	-128
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	10	W	+1000
5/21	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	10	L	+1780
5/21	@Angels	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-110
5/21	@Angels	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	3	L	+118
5/21	@Angels	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	3	L	-160
5/21	@Angels	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-204
5/21	@Angels	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	0	L	+147
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+325
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-750
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-275
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+640
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-125
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	+165
5/16	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+1260

Athletics Teammates

View all

Nick Kurtz Max Muncy Shea Langeliers Tyler Soderstrom Jeff McNeil Zack Gelof Brent Rooker Darell Hernaiz Carlos Cortes Lawrence Butler Jacob Wilson Henry Bolte Jonah Heim Denzel Clarke Colby Thomas

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Luis Severino hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-4-1 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$100.

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Luis Severino hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-8-1 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$439.

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?

Luis Severino hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6-1 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$103.

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?

Luis Severino hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$4.

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?

Luis Severino hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4-1 with an average actual of 13.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$125.

What are Luis Severino's best prop bets in 2026?

Luis Severino's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 66.7% (8-4); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 50% (4-4); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 45.5% (5-6).