Luis Severino

Luis Severino

AthleticsPitcher2026
Reg4.31 ERA / 64 K / 60.5 IP / 9.5 K/9 / 11G
85.7% BBA O 1.572.7% K O 3.550% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer

Luis Severino goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

avg 5.8
72.7%Over: 8-3
10vs O 3.5-700
@Angels5/21
H: 75%(4)A: 71.4%(7)
avg 2.6
36.4%Over: 4-7
2vs O 2.5-110
@Angels5/21
H: 75%(4)A: 14.3%(7)
avg 5.3
45.5%Over: 5-6
3vs O 5.5+118
@Angels5/21
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(6)
avg 2.8
81.8%Over: 9-2
0vs O 1.5-204
@Angels5/21
H: 100%(3)A: 75%(4)
avg 17.8
55.6%Over: 5-4
21vs O 17.5-128
@Angels5/21
H: 66.7%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2
5-Star Games
1(9%)
Total Matchups
11
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
50%(2-2)50%(2-2)25%(1-3)100%(3-0)33.3%(1-2)
100%(4-0)50%(2-2)100%(3-0)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Jose Soriano
5/21

Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.

vs Trevor McDonald
5/16

Giants hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Severino.

vs Keegan Akin
5/10

Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.

Game Log

Bet
$
75-57 Over132 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.510W-132
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 8.510W+630
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.510W+162
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 2.510W-2600
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 7.510W+320
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 4.510W-291
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 3.510W-700
5/21@AngelsOuts RecordedO 17.521W-128
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 9.510W+1000
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 10.510L+1780
5/21@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.52L-110
5/21@AngelsHits AllowedO 5.53L+118
5/21@AngelsHits AllowedO 4.53L-160
5/21@AngelsWalks AllowedO 1.50L-204
5/21@AngelsWalks AllowedO 2.50L+147
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 6.57W+325
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 2.57W-750
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 3.57W-275
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 7.57L+640
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 4.57W-125
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 5.57W+165
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 8.57L+1260
5/16vsGiantsOuts RecordedO 17.518W-136
5/16vsGiantsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-182
5/16vsGiantsHits AllowedO 5.510W-134
5/16vsGiantsEarned RunsO 2.55W-125
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 7.54L+630
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 4.54L-149
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 2.54W-900
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 3.54W-341
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 8.54L+1060
5/10@OriolesOuts RecordedO 16.516L-114
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 6.54L+300
5/10@OriolesPitcher KsO 5.54L+146
5/10@OriolesOuts RecordedO 15.516W-130
5/10@OriolesHits AllowedO 5.56W+105
5/10@OriolesEarned RunsO 2.52L-126
5/10@OriolesWalks AllowedO 2.54W-105
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 4.53L-148
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 2.53W-940
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 3.53L-332
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 5.53L+154
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 6.53L+320
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 7.53L+640
5/5@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 16.515L-110
5/5@PhilliesPitcher KsO 8.53L+1100
5/5@PhilliesEarned RunsO 2.51L-165
5/5@PhilliesHits AllowedO 5.57W-115
5/5@PhilliesWalks AllowedO 1.52W-195
5/5@PhilliesWalks AllowedO 2.52L+109

Athletics Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-3 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$0.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on earned runs 2.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-7 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$339.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$265.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 17.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$25.
What are Luis Severino's best prop bets in 2026?
Luis Severino's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 72.7% (8-3); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (5-5).

Luis Severino 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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