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Players/MLB/Athletics/Luis Severino
Luis Severino

Luis Severino

Athletics•Pitcher•2026
4.24ERA65K61.5IP9.5K/912G
4.24ERA65K61.5IP9.5K/912G
63.6% K O 4.550% BBA O 2.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
Best Performer

Luis Severino goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 63.6% of the time (7-4-1)

Props — 202613 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

13g
avg 5
58.3%Over: 7-5-1
1vs O 4.5-177
vsYankees5/29
✗P✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 50%(6)A: 66.7%(6)

Earned Runs

13g
avg 2.2
33.3%Over: 4-8-1
0vs O 2.5-160
vsYankees5/29
✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 50%(6)A: 14.3%(7)

Hits Allowed

13g
avg 4.7
41.7%Over: 5-7-1
3vs O 5.5+110
vsYankees5/29
✗P✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 50%(6)

Walks Allowed

12g
avg 2.6
66.7%Over: 8-4
0vs O 2.5+109
vsYankees5/29
✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 40%(5)

Outs Recorded

11g
avg 14.8
60%Over: 6-4-1
3vs O 15.5-120
vsYankees5/29
✗P✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 50%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
13
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 2.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—
★★★★★—0%(0-1)0%(0-1)——
★★★★★40%(2-3)40%(2-3)20%(1-4)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)
★★★★★60%(3-2)40%(2-3)75%(3-1)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
5/29

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Severino have an ERA of 4.56 against the Yankees over the last year.

★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
5/26

Mariners hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.

★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
5/21

Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
75-70-15 Over160 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 5.51L+119
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 3.51L-419
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 2.51L-1320
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 7.51L+501
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 4.51L-177
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 6.51L+241
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 9.51L+1780
5/29vsYankeesPitcher KsO 8.51L+1000
5/29vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 15.53L-120
5/29vsYankeesHits AllowedO 5.53L+110
5/29vsYankeesEarned RunsO 2.50L-160
5/29vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 16.53L-104
5/29vsYankeesWalks AllowedO 2.50L+109
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 7.50P+429
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 3.50P-473
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 2.50P-1560
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 4.50P-201
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 5.50P+105
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 6.50P+210
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 8.50P+840
5/26vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 17.50P-102
5/26vsMarinersPitcher KsO 9.50P+1600
5/26vsMarinersHits AllowedO 5.50P+101
5/26vsMarinersEarned RunsO 2.50P-130
5/26vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 16.50P-137
5/26vsMarinersEarned RunsO 0.50P+125
5/26vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 3.50P+105
5/26vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 5.50P+100
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.510W-132
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 8.510W+630
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.510W+162
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 2.510W-2600
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 7.510W+320
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 4.510W-291
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 3.510W-700
5/21@AngelsOuts RecordedO 17.521W-128
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 9.510W+1000
5/21@AngelsPitcher KsO 10.510L+1780
5/21@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.52L-110
5/21@AngelsHits AllowedO 5.53L+118
5/21@AngelsHits AllowedO 4.53L-160
5/21@AngelsWalks AllowedO 1.50L-204
5/21@AngelsWalks AllowedO 2.50L+147
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 6.57W+325
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 2.57W-750
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 3.57W-275
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 7.57L+640
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 4.57W-125
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 5.57W+165
5/16vsGiantsPitcher KsO 8.57L+1260

Athletics Teammates

View all
Max MuncyTyler SoderstromNick KurtzJeff McNeilShea LangeliersLawrence ButlerHenry BolteJacob WilsonJonah HeimZack GelofCarlos CortesDonovan WaltonAlika WilliamsBrent RookerDarell Hernaiz

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Luis Severino hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 63.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-4-1 with an average actual of 5.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$162.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-8-1 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$439.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6-1 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$103.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$4.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 14.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$55.
What are Luis Severino's best prop bets in 2026?
Luis Severino's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 63.6% (7-4); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 50% (4-4); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 50% (3-3).

Luis Severino 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.13 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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