
85.7% BBA O 1.572.7% K O 3.550% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Luis Severino goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202611 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(9%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
5/21Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
5/16Giants hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Severino.
★★★★★vs Keegan Akin
5/10Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.
Game Log
Bet
$
75-57 Over132 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -132 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +630 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +162 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -2600 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +320 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -291 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -700 |
| 5/21 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -128 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 10 | W | +1000 |
| 5/21 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 10 | L | +1780 |
| 5/21 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +118 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 5/21 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -204 |
| 5/21 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +147 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +325 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -750 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -275 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +640 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +165 |
| 5/16 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1260 |
| 5/16 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -136 |
| 5/16 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -182 |
| 5/16 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -134 |
| 5/16 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +630 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -149 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -900 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -341 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1060 |
| 5/10 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -114 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +300 |
| 5/10 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +146 |
| 5/10 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -130 |
| 5/10 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 5/10 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -126 |
| 5/10 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -105 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -148 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -940 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -332 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +154 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +320 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +640 |
| 5/5 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/5 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1100 |
| 5/5 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 5/5 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -115 |
| 5/5 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -195 |
| 5/5 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +109 |
Athletics Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-3 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$0.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on earned runs 2.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-7 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$339.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$265.
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 17.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$25.
What are Luis Severino's best prop bets in 2026?
Luis Severino's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 72.7% (8-3); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (5-5).

Inside Edge