Inside Edge
Athletics85.7% BBA O 1.572.7% K O 3.550% HA O 5.5
Season
All Luis Severino propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
9g55.6%Over: 5-4
21vs O 17.5-128
@
Angels5/21
Angels5/21✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(9%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
5/21Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
5/16Giants hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Severino.
★★★★★vs Keegan Akin
5/10Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-6 Over9g · 17 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Angels | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -128 |
| 5/16 | vs Giants | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -136 |
| 5/10 | @ Orioles | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -114 |
| 5/10 | @Orioles | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -130 |
| 5/5 | @ Phillies | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/5 | @Phillies | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -128 |
| 4/29 | vs Royals | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -116 |
| 4/29 | vsRoyals | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -105 |
| 4/24 | @ Rangers | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -110 |
| 4/24 | @Rangers | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -110 |
| 4/18 | vs White Sox | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -102 |
| 4/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -130 |
| 4/13 | vsRangers | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 4/13 | vsRangers | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -172 |
| 4/13 | vsRangers | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -102 |
| 4/8 | @ Yankees | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -172 |
| 4/8 | @Yankees | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +135 |
Athletics Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 17.7.
Is Luis Severino over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Luis Severino over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$27 (+3% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 17.7.
What is Luis Severino's outs recorded average this season?
Luis Severino averages 17.7 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.