Inside Edge
Athletics85.7% BBA O 1.572.7% K O 3.550% HA O 5.5
Season
All Luis Severino propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
11g45.5%Over: 5-6
3vs O 5.5+118
@
Angels5/21
Angels5/21✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✗
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(9%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Severino's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
5/21Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .664 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Severino over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
5/16Giants hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Severino.
★★★★★vs Keegan Akin
5/10Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Severino.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-7 Over11g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Angels | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +118 |
| 5/21 | @Angels | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 5/16 | vs Giants | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -134 |
| 5/10 | @ Orioles | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 5/5 | @ Phillies | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -115 |
| 4/29 | vs Royals | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -116 |
| 4/24 | @ Rangers | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -159 |
| 4/24 | @Rangers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 4/18 | vs White Sox | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +120 |
| 4/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/13 | vsRangers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 4/13 | vsRangers | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -153 |
| 4/8 | @ Yankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +113 |
| 4/1 | @ Braves | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +102 |
| 3/27 | @ Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -107 |
Athletics Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Severino hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Luis Severino hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 5.4.
Is Luis Severino over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Luis Severino over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$103 (-9.36% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 5.4.
What is Luis Severino's hits allowed average this season?
Luis Severino averages 5.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.