Inside Edge
Seattle Mariners85.7% HA O 4.571.4% BBA O 1.566.7% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer
Luis Castillo goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (8-0)
Props — 20269 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castillo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael Burrows
5/14Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.39 against the Astros in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Astros.
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
5/9Current White Sox hitters have struck out 24.6% of the time against pitchers similar to Castillo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Kris Bubic
5/3Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.12 against the Royals in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
52-65 Over117 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14 | @ Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +131 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -162 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -1140 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -376 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +550 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +269 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -118 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1080 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -115 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +1740 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -160 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -115 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 5/9 | @ White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -123 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -571 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -248 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +370 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +172 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +750 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -103 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1000 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +1700 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -154 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +121 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +122 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +137 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -2000 |
| 5/3 | vs Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -122 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -750 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -275 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +188 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +370 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +750 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1400 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -112 |
| 4/27 | @ Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -830 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -285 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +168 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +360 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +750 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1380 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -103 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -125 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$153.
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$177.
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 6.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$350.
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$169.
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 15.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$77.
What are Luis Castillo's best prop bets in 2026?
Luis Castillo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 66.7% (6-3).