Seattle Mariners78.6% K O 3.575% OUT O 15.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Luis Castillo propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
14g42.9%Over: 6-8
2vs O 2.5+126
vs
Blue Jays7/3
Blue Jays7/3✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 25%(4)A: 44.4%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(14%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castillo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Dylan Cease
7/3Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .249 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Castillo over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
6/26Current Guardians hitters are batting .217 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Castillo over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
6/13Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Castillo.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-10 Over14g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +126 |
| 6/26 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 6/26 | @Guardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 6/13 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 6/7 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -101 |
| 5/25 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 5/14 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -115 |
| 5/9 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +121 |
| 5/3 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 4/27 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -103 |
| 4/21 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -171 |
| 4/21 | vsAthletics | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 4/16 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +101 |
| 4/11 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -135 |
| 4/5 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +123 |
| 3/30 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +121 |
| 3/30 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
Seattle Mariners Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 38.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-8 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Luis Castillo over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Luis Castillo over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$249 (-17.79% ROI). The hit rate is 38.5% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Luis Castillo's earned runs average this season?
Luis Castillo averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge