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Players/MLB/Chicago White Sox/Luis Castillo/Earned Runs
Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo

Chicago White Sox•Pitcher•2026
5.34ERA105K114.5IP8.3K/924G
5.34ERA105K114.5IP8.3K/924G
64.3% HA O 5.555% ER O 2.552.9% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Luis Castillo props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

21g
avg 2.9
57.1%Over: 12-9
4vs O 2.5+104
vsMets8/22
✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 61.5%(13)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
50%
75%
0%
75%
75%
Mar
0-1
Apr
2-2
May
3-1
Jun
0-3
Jul
3-1
Aug
3-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(10%)
Total Matchups
21
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Castillo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Outs RecordedO 14.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-2)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)—0%(0-2)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)50%(1-1)57.1%(4-3)50%(3-3)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)100%(3-0)
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)25%(1-3)66.7%(4-2)100%(3-0)0%(0-4)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)—33.3%(1-2)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Christian Scott
8/22

Several hitters in the Mets lineup have a 5-star matchup against Castillo today.

★★★★★vs Shota Imanaga
8/17

Cubs hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Castillo.

★★★★★vs Rhett Lowder
8/12

Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Castillo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
17-11 Over21g · 28 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/22vsMetsO 2.54W+104
8/17@CubsO 2.53W-115
8/12vsRedsO 2.50L+110
8/6@Red SoxO 2.55W-140
8/6@Red SoxO 3.55W+120
7/28@DodgersO 3.55W+112
7/28@DodgersO 2.55W-162
7/21vsRedsO 2.53W+115
7/21vsRedsO 1.53W—
7/10@RaysO 2.54W-123
7/3vsBlue JaysO 2.52L+126
6/26@GuardiansO 1.51L-165
6/26@GuardiansO 2.51L+122
6/13@NationalsO 2.52L-120
6/7@TigersO 2.51L-101
5/25@AthleticsO 2.50L-110
5/14@AstrosO 2.53W-115
5/9@White SoxO 2.54W-155
5/9@White SoxO 3.54W+121
5/3vsRoyalsO 2.54W+105
4/27@TwinsO 2.57W-103
4/21vsAthleticsO 1.52W-171
4/21vsAthleticsO 2.52L+115
4/16@PadresO 2.51L+101
4/11vsAstrosO 1.57W-135
4/5@AngelsO 2.53W+123
3/30vsYankeesO 2.50L+121
3/30vsYankeesO 1.50L-165

Chicago White Sox Teammates

View all
Miguel VargasColson MontgomeryChase MeidrothSam AntonacciTristan PetersAndrew BenintendiMunetaka MurakamiBraden MontgomeryDrew RomoEdgar QueroJacob GonzalezBrenton DoyleJake RogersDerek HillRandal Grichuk

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Luis Castillo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Castillo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 55% of the time in 2026, going 11-9 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Luis Castillo over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2026, betting $100 on Luis Castillo over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$171 (+8.14% ROI). The hit rate is 55% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Luis Castillo's earned runs average this season?
Luis Castillo averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Luis Castillo 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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