Jose Berrios

Toronto Blue JaysPitcher•2025

Reg4.30 ERA / 138 K / 161.1 IP / 7.7 K/9 / 31G

57.1% BBA O 1.547.8% K O 4.539.3% ER O 2.5

Season

Best Performer

Jose Berrios goes over 1.5 walks allowed 57.1% of the time (16-12)

Props — 202530 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

30g

avg 4.5

43.3%Over: 13-17

0vs O 4.5+110

Rays9/16

✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✓

H: 55.6%(9)A: 42.9%(14)

Earned Runs

30g

avg 2.5

40%Over: 12-18

3vs O 2.5-122

Rays9/16

✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓

H: 41.7%(12)A: 37.5%(16)

Hits Allowed

30g

avg 5.3

36.7%Over: 11-19

4vs O 5.5-131

Rays9/16

✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✗✓

H: 45.5%(11)A: 23.1%(13)

Walks Allowed

29g

avg 1.8

55.2%Over: 16-13

2vs O 1.5-105

Rays9/16

✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✗✓

H: 57.1%(14)A: 57.1%(14)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(3%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Berrios's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	40%(2-3)	0%(0-4)	66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	66.7%(2-1)	25%(1-3)	75%(3-1)
★★★★★	42.9%(3-4)	37.5%(3-5)	33.3%(2-4)	62.5%(5-3)
★★★★★	55.6%(5-4)	40%(4-6)	62.5%(5-3)	25%(2-6)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★

9/16

Current Rays hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Rays.

★★★★★

9/10

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Berrios have an ERA of 4.41 against the Astros over the last year.

★★★★★

9/2

Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet

56-71 Over127 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
9/16	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	0	L	+110
9/16	@Rays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	-122
9/16	@Rays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	-131
9/16	@Rays	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-105
9/10	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	+118
9/10	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-150
9/10	vsAstros	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+104
9/10	vsAstros	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	-114
9/10	vsAstros	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+142
9/2	@Reds	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	-102
9/2	@Reds	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-105
9/2	@Reds	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	+105
9/2	@Reds	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	+105
8/23	@Marlins	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	8	W	+130
8/23	@Marlins	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-115
8/23	@Marlins	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	-125
8/23	@Marlins	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-110
8/17	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	+105
8/17	vsRangers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	6	W	+105
8/17	vsRangers	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	10	W	+120
8/17	vsRangers	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-135
8/12	vsCubs	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	3	L	+120
8/12	vsCubs	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-145
8/12	vsCubs	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	2	L	-120
8/12	vsCubs	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	4	W	-125
8/5	@Rockies	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	+125
8/5	@Rockies	Earned Runs	O 3.5	3	L	+120
8/5	@Rockies	Hits Allowed	O 6.5	7	W	+115
8/5	@Rockies	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	-165
7/30	@Orioles	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	3	L	+105
7/30	@Orioles	Earned Runs	O 3.5	2	L	+115
7/30	@Orioles	Hits Allowed	O 6.5	6	L	+115
7/30	@Orioles	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-135
7/30	@Orioles	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-155
7/30	@Orioles	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	6	W	-150
7/25	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	6	W	-108
7/25	@Tigers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-110
7/25	@Tigers	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	-115
7/25	@Tigers	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-130
7/20	vsGiants	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	-105
7/20	vsGiants	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	+105
7/20	vsGiants	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	8	W	-160
7/20	vsGiants	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-130
7/13	@Athletics	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	1	L	-155
7/13	@Athletics	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-115
7/13	@Athletics	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	-140
7/13	@Athletics	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	-155
7/7	@White Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	-106
7/7	@White Sox	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	+125
7/7	@White Sox	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	2	L	-155

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Ernie Clement George Springer Bo Bichette Addison Barger Alejandro Kirk Isiah Kiner-Falefa Nathan Lukes Ty France Daulton Varsho Davis Schneider Myles Straw Anthony Santander Tyler Heineman Alan Roden

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Jose Berrios hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 47.8% of the time in 2025, going 11-12 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$234.

How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Jose Berrios hits the over on earned runs 2.5 39.3% of the time in 2025, going 11-17 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$726.

How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?

Jose Berrios hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 8-16 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$868.

How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Jose Berrios hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 16-12 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$106.

What are Jose Berrios's best prop bets in 2025?

Jose Berrios's highest-hitting props in 2025: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (16-12); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 47.8% (11-12); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 39.3% (11-17).