Toronto Blue Jays57.1% BBA O 1.557.1% OUT O 17.547.8% K O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Jose Berrios goes over 1.5 walks allowed 57.1% of the time (16-12)
Props — 202530 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(3%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Berrios's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-4) | 66.7%(4-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 37.5%(3-5) | 33.3%(2-4) | 62.5%(5-3) | 83.3%(5-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 40%(4-6) | 62.5%(5-3) | 25%(2-6) | 42.9%(3-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/16Current Rays hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Rays.
★★★★★
9/10Pitchers with similar repertoires to Berrios have an ERA of 4.41 against the Astros over the last year.
★★★★★
9/2Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
73-90 Over163 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/16 | @ Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 9/16 | @Rays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 9/16 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -131 |
| 9/16 | @Rays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 9/16 | @Rays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -114 |
| 9/10 | vs Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +118 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -150 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -114 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +142 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 16 | L | +120 |
| 9/10 | vsAstros | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -119 |
| 9/2 | @ Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 9/2 | @Reds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 9/2 | @Reds | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +105 |
| 9/2 | @Reds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +105 |
| 9/2 | @Reds | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 6 | L | -105 |
| 8/23 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +130 |
| 8/23 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 8/23 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 8/23 | @Marlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 8/23 | @Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 19 | W | -125 |
| 8/23 | @Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -110 |
| 8/17 | vs Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 8/17 | vsRangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 8/17 | vsRangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 10 | W | +120 |
| 8/17 | vsRangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 8/17 | vsRangers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -135 |
| 8/17 | vsRangers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 13 | L | -115 |
| 8/12 | vs Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 8/12 | vsCubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -145 |
| 8/12 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/12 | vsCubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 8/12 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -110 |
| 8/5 | @ Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 16 | L | +136 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -115 |
| 7/30 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +115 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -150 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -135 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 13 | L | +110 |
| 7/25 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -108 |
| 7/25 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 47.8% of the time in 2025, going 11-12 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$234.
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on earned runs 2.5 39.3% of the time in 2025, going 11-17 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$726.
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 8-16 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$868.
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 16-12 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$106.
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 12-9 with an average actual of 17.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$6.
What are Jose Berrios's best prop bets in 2025?
Jose Berrios's highest-hitting props in 2025: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (16-12); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 57.1% (12-9); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 47.8% (11-12).
Inside Edge