Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays57.1% BBA O 1.547.8% K O 4.539.3% ER O 2.5
Season
All Jose Berrios propsProps — 202530 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
30g40%Over: 12-18
3vs O 2.5-122
@
Rays9/16
Rays9/16✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓
H: 41.7%(12)A: 37.5%(16)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(3%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Berrios's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-4) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 37.5%(3-5) | 33.3%(2-4) | 62.5%(5-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 40%(4-6) | 62.5%(5-3) | 25%(2-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/16Current Rays hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Rays.
★★★★★
9/10Pitchers with similar repertoires to Berrios have an ERA of 4.41 against the Astros over the last year.
★★★★★
9/2Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Berrios over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
12-20 Over30g · 32 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/16 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 9/10 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 9/2 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 8/23 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 8/17 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 8/12 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -145 |
| 8/5 | @ Rockies | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 8/5 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 7/30 | @ Orioles | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 7/25 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 7/20 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 7/13 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 7/7 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 7/2 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 6/27 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 6/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 6/15 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 6/9 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 6/4 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 5/29 | vsAthletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 5/24 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -125 |
| 5/18 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 5/13 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -170 |
| 5/7 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/1 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 4/25 | @Yankees | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/19 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -105 |
| 4/7 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 4/1 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +130 |
| 3/27 | vsOrioles | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Jose Berrios hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jose Berrios hits the over on earned runs 2.5 39.3% of the time in 2025, going 11-17 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Jose Berrios over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 30 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jose Berrios over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$768 (-25.6% ROI). The hit rate is 39.3% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Jose Berrios's earned runs average this season?
Jose Berrios averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2025 across 30 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.