Graham Pauley

Miami MarlinsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.173 / 1 HR / 9 RBI / 13 H / 1 SB / 27G

58.3% SO O 0.550% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Graham Pauley goes over 0.5 strikeouts 58.3% of the time (14-10-4)

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Hits

28g

avg 0.4

41.7%Over: 10-14-4

0vs O 0.5-128

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✓✓

H: 29.4%(17)A: 45.5%(11)

Home Runs

28g

avg 0

4.2%Over: 1-23-4

0vs O 0.5+800

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✓✗

H: 0%(17)A: 9.1%(11)

RBIs

28g

avg 0.2

16.7%Over: 4-20-4

0vs O 0.5+250

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✓✓

H: 5.9%(17)A: 27.3%(11)

Runs Scored

28g

avg 0.3

29.2%Over: 7-17-4

0vs O 0.5+159

Orioles5/6

P✓✗✗P✗✗P✓✓

H: 17.6%(17)A: 36.4%(11)

Stolen Bases

28g

avg 0

4.2%Over: 1-23-4

0vs O 0.5+1350

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗

H: 5.9%(17)A: 0%(11)

Total Bases

28g

avg 0.7

25%Over: 6-18-4

0vs O 1.5+205

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✓✓

H: 11.8%(17)A: 36.4%(11)

Walks

28g

avg 0.2

20.8%Over: 5-19-4

0vs O 0.5+203

Orioles5/6

P✓✗✗P✓✗P✗✓

H: 11.8%(17)A: 27.3%(11)

Strikeouts

28g

avg 0.7

58.3%Over: 14-10-4

0vs O 0.5-115

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✓✓P✓✓

H: 47.1%(17)A: 54.5%(11)

Doubles

28g

avg 0.2

16.7%Over: 4-20-4

0vs O 0.5+500

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗

H: 11.8%(17)A: 18.2%(11)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

28g

avg 0.9

50%Over: 12-12-4

0vs O 0.5-155

Orioles5/6

P✓✗✗P✗✗P✓✓

H: 41.2%(17)A: 45.5%(11)

Singles

28g

avg 0.2

20.8%Over: 5-19-4

0vs O 0.5+147

Orioles5/6

P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✓

H: 17.6%(17)A: 18.2%(11)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

1.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Pauley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	35%(7-13)	0%(0-20)	15%(3-17)
★★★★★	28.6%(2-5)	14.3%(1-6)	14.3%(1-6)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Tobias Myers

5/22

Pauley is batting just .125 (1-for-8) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Myers over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Brandon Young

5/6

Pauley does not have a well hit ball in 8 AB's over the last 5 days.

★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt

5/5

Pauley is batting just .128 (6-for-47) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Bassitt over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

106-604-111 Over821 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/6	vsOrioles	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+500
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-128
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+473
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2700
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-155
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+134
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+275
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+544
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+1040
5/6	vsOrioles	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+800
5/6	vsOrioles	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+12500
5/6	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+250
5/6	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+775
5/6	vsOrioles	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+147
5/6	vsOrioles	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+1000
5/6	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+205
5/6	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+431
5/6	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+625
5/6	vsOrioles	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+159
5/6	vsOrioles	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1000
5/6	vsOrioles	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+1350
5/6	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+1600
5/6	vsOrioles	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-115
5/6	vsOrioles	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	+578
5/6	vsOrioles	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+203
5/6	vsOrioles	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+22500
5/6	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+6000
5/6	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+4000
5/6	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+1900
5/6	vsOrioles	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	P	+4000
5/6	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	-135
5/6	vsOrioles	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+7000
5/5	vsOrioles	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+600
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits	O 0.5	0	L	-125
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits	O 2.5	0	L	+3500
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits	O 1.5	0	L	+550
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	-175
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+525
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	+140
5/5	vsOrioles	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+290
5/5	vsOrioles	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+10000
5/5	vsOrioles	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+850
5/5	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+800
5/5	vsOrioles	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+250
5/5	vsOrioles	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+170
5/5	vsOrioles	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+1200
5/5	vsOrioles	Singles	O 0.5	0	L	+150
5/5	vsOrioles	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+1450
5/5	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	L	+650
5/5	vsOrioles	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	L	+1700

Miami Marlins Teammates

View all

Jakob Marsee Xavier Edwards Otto Lopez Connor Norby Liam Hicks Owen Caissie Agustín Ramírez Javier Sanoja Kyle Stowers Christopher Morel Joe Mack Austin Slater Esteury Ruiz Griffin Conine Sandy Alcantara

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on hits 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on hits 0.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-14-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$581.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.2% of the time in 2026, going 1-23-4 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,000.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on rbis 0.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-20-4 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$856.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on runs scored 0.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-17-4 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$431.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 4.2% of the time in 2026, going 1-23-4 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$950.

What are Graham Pauley's best prop bets in 2026?

Graham Pauley's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 58.3% (14-10); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 50% (12-12); Hits O 0.5 at 41.7% (10-14).