Graham Pauley

Miami Marlins•2026

.194AVG1HR14RBI9R21H1SB41G

58.8% SO O 0.554.3% HRR O 0.550% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Graham Pauley goes over 0.5 strikeouts 58.8% of the time (20-14-8)

Props — 202644 games with closing lines

Hits+Runs+RBIs

44g

avg 0.9

54.3%Over: 19-16-9

0vs O 0.5

Phillies8/19

P✓✓P✓✗✓P✗P

H: 42.9%(21)A: 43.5%(23)

Hits

43g

avg 0.4

50%Over: 17-17-9

0vs O 0.5

Phillies8/19

P✓✓P✓✗✓P✗P

H: 35%(20)A: 43.5%(23)

Home Runs

43g

avg 0

2.9%Over: 1-33-9

0vs O 0.5

Phillies8/19

P✗✗P✗✗✗P✗P

H: 0%(20)A: 4.3%(23)

RBIs

43g

avg 0.3

23.5%Over: 8-26-9

0vs O 0.5

Phillies8/19

P✓✗P✗✗✓P✗P

H: 10%(20)A: 26.1%(23)

Runs Scored

43g

avg 0.1

23.5%Over: 8-26-9

0vs O 0.5+198

Phillies8/19

P✗✗P✗✗✗P✗P

H: 15%(20)A: 21.7%(23)

Stolen Bases

43g

avg 0

2.9%Over: 1-34-8

0vs O 0.5+2100

Phillies8/19

P✗✗✗✗✗P✗P✗

H: 4.8%(21)A: 0%(22)

Total Bases

43g

avg 0.6

50%Over: 17-17-9

0vs O 0.5

Phillies8/19

P✓✓P✓✗✓P✗P

H: 36.8%(19)A: 43.5%(23)

Doubles

43g

avg 0.1

20.6%Over: 7-27-9

0vs O 0.5+590

Phillies8/19

P✓✗P✗✗✗P✗P

H: 10%(20)A: 21.7%(23)

Singles

43g

avg 0.3

26.5%Over: 9-25-9

0vs O 0.5+212

Phillies8/19

P✗✓P✓✗✓P✗P

H: 25%(20)A: 17.4%(23)

Walks

42g

avg 0.1

14.7%Over: 5-29-8

0vs O 0.5+286

Phillies8/19

P✗✗✗✗✗P✗P✗

H: 10%(20)A: 13.6%(22)

Strikeouts

42g

avg 0.4

58.8%Over: 20-14-8

0vs O 0.5-196

Phillies8/19

P✓✗P✗✓✗✓P✗

H: 50%(20)A: 45.5%(22)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Pauley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	38.5%(10-16)	0%(0-26)	19.2%(5-21)
★★★★★	41.7%(5-7)	8.3%(1-11)	16.7%(2-10)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Brad Lord

8/21

Pauley is batting just .133 (4-for-30) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Lord over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Aaron Nola

8/19

Pauley is batting just .213 (13-for-61) against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler

8/18

Pauley is batting just .182 (6-for-33) against top tier right-handers like Wheeler over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

159-898-270 Over1327 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+176
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+620
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+324
8/19	@Phillies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+1180
8/19	@Phillies	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+286
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+198
8/19	@Phillies	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+620
8/19	@Phillies	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+590
8/19	@Phillies	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+820
8/19	@Phillies	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+212
8/19	@Phillies	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	+330
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+527
8/19	@Phillies	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+7700
8/19	@Phillies	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-196
8/19	@Phillies	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+418
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+236
8/19	@Phillies	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+3300
8/19	@Phillies	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+2100
8/19	@Phillies	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/19	@Phillies	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/15	@Reds	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+463
8/15	@Reds	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	3	W	+269
8/15	@Reds	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	3	L	+920
8/15	@Reds	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+2700
8/15	@Reds	Doubles	O 0.5	1	W	+660
8/15	@Reds	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	3	L	+501
8/15	@Reds	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	3	W	+150
8/15	@Reds	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-117
8/15	@Reds	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	3	W	-145
8/15	@Reds	Hits	O 3.5	1	L	+15000
8/15	@Reds	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+5500
8/15	@Reds	RBIs	O 3.5	2	L	+5500
8/15	@Reds	RBIs	O 2.5	2	L	+1900
8/15	@Reds	RBIs	O 4.5	2	L	+5500
8/15	@Reds	RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	+249
8/15	@Reds	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+522
8/15	@Reds	RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	+700
8/15	@Reds	Total Bases	O 2.5	2	L	+360
8/15	@Reds	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	L	+6500
8/15	@Reds	Total Bases	O 0.5	2	W	-145

Miami Marlins Teammates

View all

Xavier Edwards Jakob Marsee Otto Lopez Liam Hicks Javier Sanoja Kyle Stowers Owen Caissie Joe Mack Connor Norby Griffin Conine Esteury Ruiz Agustín Ramírez Christopher Morel Austin Slater Rece Hinds

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5 54.3% of the time in 2026, going 19-16-9 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$363.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on hits 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on hits 0.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 17-17-9 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$233.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on home runs 0.5 2.9% of the time in 2026, going 1-33-9 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,000.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on rbis 0.5 23.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-26-9 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$398.

How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Graham Pauley hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-26-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,131.

What are Graham Pauley's best prop bets in 2026?

Graham Pauley's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 58.8% (20-14); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 54.3% (19-16); Hits O 0.5 at 50% (17-17).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

0%(0-2)

★★★★★

50%(1-1)

0%(0-2)

★★★★★

38.5%(10-16)

0%(0-26)

19.2%(5-21)

★★★★★

41.7%(5-7)

8.3%(1-11)

16.7%(2-10)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds