
58.3% SO O 0.550% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.5
Season
All Graham Pauley propsProps — 202628 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
28g29.2%Over: 7-17-4
0vs O 0.5+159
vs
Orioles5/6
P✓✗✗P✗✗P✓✓
H: 17.6%(17)A: 36.4%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
38Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pauley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 35%(7-13) | 0%(0-20) | 15%(3-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) | 14.3%(1-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tobias Myers
5/22Pauley is batting just .125 (1-for-8) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Myers over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Brandon Young
5/6Pauley does not have a well hit ball in 8 AB's over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt
5/5Pauley is batting just .128 (6-for-47) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Bassitt over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-55-9 Over28g · 71 props
Miami Marlins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Graham Pauley hits the over on runs scored 0.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-17-4 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Graham Pauley over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2026, betting $100 on Graham Pauley over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$431 (-15.39% ROI). The hit rate is 29.2% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Graham Pauley's runs scored average this season?
Graham Pauley averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge