Inside Edge
Miami Marlins58.3% SO O 0.550% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.5
Season
All Graham Pauley propsProps — 202628 games with closing lines
Home Runs
28g4.2%Over: 1-23-4
0vs O 0.5+800
vs
Orioles5/6
Orioles5/6P✗✗✗P✗✗P✓✗
H: 0%(17)A: 9.1%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
38Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pauley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 35%(7-13) | 0%(0-20) | 15%(3-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) | 14.3%(1-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tobias Myers
5/22Pauley is batting just .125 (1-for-8) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Myers over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Brandon Young
5/6Pauley does not have a well hit ball in 8 AB's over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt
5/5Pauley is batting just .128 (6-for-47) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Bassitt over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-50-8 Over28g · 59 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +800 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 5/5 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/4 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/4 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/2 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/2 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/1 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1120 |
| 5/1 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +20000 |
| 4/29 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 4/29 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +900 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +20000 |
| 4/26 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1300 |
| 4/26 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +35000 |
| 4/24 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/24 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/22 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 4/22 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/20 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/20 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/19 | vs Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 4/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 4/18 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/17 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/17 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/15 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/14 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/14 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/14 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 4/13 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/13 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/11 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/11 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/9 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 4/9 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/8 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 4/8 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/3 | @ Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
Miami Marlins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Graham Pauley hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Graham Pauley hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.2% of the time in 2026, going 1-23-4 with an average actual of 0.
Is Graham Pauley over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2026, betting $100 on Graham Pauley over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,000 (-35.71% ROI). The hit rate is 4.2% with an average actual of 0.
What is Graham Pauley's home runs average this season?
Graham Pauley averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.