New York Mets50% ER O 2.550% HA O 4.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer
Freddy Peralta goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 80% of the time (12-3-1)
Props — 202620 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Peralta's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Reynaldo López
7/6Current Braves hitters have struck out 25% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Peralta over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Braydon Fisher
7/1Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .247 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Peralta over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Matthew Boyd
6/25Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Peralta have an ERA of 4.63 against the Cubs since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
107-149-8 Over264 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | @ Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | +110 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 14 | L | -130 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | — |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1300 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -325 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +145 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +640 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | — |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +298 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -800 |
| 7/6 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +147 |
| 7/1 | @ Blue Jays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -101 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -125 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +109 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -132 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +400 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1380 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -295 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -800 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +680 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +178 |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | — |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | — |
| 7/1 | @Blue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -171 |
| 6/25 | vs Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +490 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -450 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1340 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +108 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +230 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +870 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1740 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | +103 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -120 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -121 |
| 6/25 | vsCubs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 6/20 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -439 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -194 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -1200 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +225 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +450 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +114 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 8 | L | -106 |
| 6/20 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +860 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 47.4% of the time in 2026, going 9-10-1 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$366.
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$38.
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 7-7 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$20.
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 31.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-11 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$450.
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 16.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$34.
What are Freddy Peralta's best prop bets in 2026?
Freddy Peralta's highest-hitting props in 2026: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 50% (6-6); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 50% (7-7); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 50% (5-5).
Inside Edge