Inside Edge
New York Mets62.5% ER O 1.562.5% BBA O 2.560% K O 5.5
Season
All Freddy Peralta propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g60%Over: 6-4
3vs O 2.5+100
vs
Yankees5/17
Yankees5/17✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(6)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Peralta's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz
5/17Pitchers with similar repertoires to Peralta have an ERA of 4.75 against the Yankees over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/12Tigers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Peralta.
★★★★★vs Michael Lorenzen
5/6Rockies hitters have a 4 star average matchup against Peralta.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-4 Over10g · 11 props
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on earned runs 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$87 (+8.7% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Freddy Peralta's earned runs average this season?
Freddy Peralta averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.