New York Mets50% ER O 2.550% HA O 4.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Freddy Peralta propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
19g52.6%Over: 10-9
1vs O 2.5-150
@
Braves7/6
Braves7/6✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✓
H: 40%(5)A: 57.1%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Peralta's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Reynaldo López
7/6Current Braves hitters have struck out 25% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Peralta over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Braydon Fisher
7/1Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .247 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Peralta over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Matthew Boyd
6/25Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Peralta have an ERA of 4.63 against the Cubs since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-9 Over19g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 7/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -101 |
| 6/25 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 6/20 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -132 |
| 6/14 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +113 |
| 6/9 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +129 |
| 6/9 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -175 |
| 6/3 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 5/29 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -161 |
| 5/29 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 5/23 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/17 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +100 |
| 5/12 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 5/6 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +107 |
| 4/30 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -153 |
| 4/24 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -121 |
| 4/18 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +124 |
| 4/18 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -166 |
| 4/12 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 4/7 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -107 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 3/26 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -130 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Peralta hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Freddy Peralta hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 3.
Is Freddy Peralta over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Freddy Peralta over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$65 (+3.42% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 3.
What is Freddy Peralta's earned runs average this season?
Freddy Peralta averages 3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge