Dylan Cease

Toronto Blue JaysPitcher•2026

Reg2.86 ERA / 137 K / 88 IP / 14.0 K/9 / 16G

100% K O 4.560% BBA O 2.550% ER O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Dylan Cease goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (15-0-1)

Props — 202616 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

16g

avg 7.8

100%Over: 15-0-1

9vs O 4.5-1720

Mariners7/3

✓✓✓P✓✓✓✓✓✓

H: 100%(8)A: 87.5%(8)

Earned Runs

16g

avg 1.7

53.3%Over: 8-7-1

0vs O 1.5-125

Mariners7/3

✗✓✓P✗✗✓✓✗✗

H: 50%(8)A: 42.9%(7)

Hits Allowed

16g

avg 3.9

33.3%Over: 5-10-1

3vs O 3.5-113

Mariners7/3

✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 28.6%(7)A: 20%(5)

Walks Allowed

16g

avg 2.4

60%Over: 9-6-1

1vs O 2.5-114

Mariners7/3

✗✓✓P✓✗✗✓✓✗

H: 62.5%(8)A: 50%(8)

Outs Recorded

15g

avg 17

40%Over: 6-9

21vs O 17.5-135

Mariners7/3

✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✓

H: 33.3%(6)A: 50%(6)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.8★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(12%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Cease's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 2.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	—	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	33.3%(1-2)	33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★	100%(4-0)	75%(3-1)	0%(0-4)	75%(3-1)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-3)	100%(3-0)	100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Luis Castillo

7/3

Mariners hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Cease.

★★★★★vs Cal Quantrill

6/27

Current Rangers hitters have struck out 22.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Cease over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Rangers.

★★★★★vs Hunter Brown

6/22

Not enough matchup data.

Game Log

Bet

121-105-16 Over242 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	9	W	-162
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	9	W	-1720
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	9	W	—
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	9	W	-730
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	9	W	-300
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	9	W	+118
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	9	L	+230
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	9	W	—
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	9	L	+670
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	9	W	—
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	9	L	+450
7/3	@Mariners	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	21	W	-135
7/3	@Mariners	Earned Runs	O 1.5	0	L	-125
7/3	@Mariners	Hits Allowed	O 3.5	3	L	-113
7/3	@Mariners	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	1	L	-114
7/3	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 12.5	9	L	+1260
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	10	W	+128
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	10	W	-3800
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	10	L	+470
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	10	W	-640
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	10	W	-1420
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	10	W	-146
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	10	W	+240
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	10	W	-295
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	10	W	—
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 12.5	10	L	+1660
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	10	L	+850
6/27	vsRangers	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	14	L	-148
6/27	vsRangers	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	+120
6/27	vsRangers	Earned Runs	O 1.5	4	W	-144
6/27	vsRangers	Outs Recorded	O 18.5	14	L	+113
6/27	vsRangers	Pitcher Ks	O 13.5	10	L	—
6/27	vsRangers	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	5	W	+135
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	8	W	-298
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	8	W	-630
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	8	W	-148
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	8	W	—
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	8	W	-1520
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	8	W	+132
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	8	L	+270
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	8	L	+522
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	8	L	+1060
6/22	vsAstros	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	3	L	+120
6/22	vsAstros	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	17	L	-138
6/22	vsAstros	Earned Runs	O 1.5	2	W	-160
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	8	W	—
6/22	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	8	L	—
6/22	vsAstros	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	4	W	+111
6/22	vsAstros	Outs Recorded	O 18.5	17	L	+104
6/22	vsAstros	Hits Allowed	O 3.5	3	L	-168

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all

Kazuma Okamoto Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Ernie Clement Daulton Varsho George Springer Brandon Valenzuela Nathan Lukes Yohendrick Pinango Myles Straw Tyler Heineman Lenyn Sosa Davis Schneider Alejandro Kirk Charles McAdoo Kevin Gausman

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Dylan Cease hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 15-0-1 with an average actual of 7.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$183.

How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Dylan Cease hits the over on earned runs 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 7-7-1 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$173.

How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Dylan Cease hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 27.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-8-1 with an average actual of 3.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$422.

How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?

Dylan Cease hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 9-6-1 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$409.

How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?

Dylan Cease hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-7 with an average actual of 17.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$247.

What are Dylan Cease's best prop bets in 2026?

Dylan Cease's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 100% (15-0); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 60% (9-6); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 50% (7-7).