Toronto Blue Jays100% K O 4.560% BBA O 2.550% ER O 1.5
Season
All Dylan Cease propsProps — 202616 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g53.3%Over: 8-7-1
0vs O 1.5-125
@
Mariners7/3
Mariners7/3✗✓✓P✗✗✓✓✗✗
H: 50%(8)A: 42.9%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(12%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cease's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
7/3Mariners hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Cease.
★★★★★vs Cal Quantrill
6/27Current Rangers hitters have struck out 22.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Cease over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Rangers.
★★★★★vs Hunter Brown
6/22Not enough matchup data.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-9-2 Over16g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 6/27 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -144 |
| 6/22 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 6/21 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/21 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -155 |
| 6/16 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 6/16 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -133 |
| 6/9 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -124 |
| 5/24 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 5/19 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/13 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 5/8 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -126 |
| 5/2 | @ Twins | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -139 |
| 4/27 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -121 |
| 4/20 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -140 |
| 4/15 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -117 |
| 4/8 | vs Dodgers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -154 |
| 4/8 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 4/3 | @ White Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Dylan Cease hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Dylan Cease hits the over on earned runs 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 7-7-1 with an average actual of 1.5.
Is Dylan Cease over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Dylan Cease over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$86 (-5.37% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 1.5.
What is Dylan Cease's earned runs average this season?
Dylan Cease averages 1.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge