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Players/MLB/Chicago Cubs/Clay Holmes
Clay Holmes

Clay Holmes

Chicago Cubs•Pitcher•2026
2.59ERA50K66.1IP6.8K/912G
2.59ERA50K66.1IP6.8K/912G
57.1% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.545.5% K O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Clay Holmes goes over 1.5 walks allowed 57.1% of the time (4-3)

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

11g
avg 4.5
45.5%Over: 5-6
1vs O 4.5-124
vsWhite Sox8/19
✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 60%(5)

Earned Runs

11g
avg 1.4
27.3%Over: 3-8
1vs O 1.5-135
vsWhite Sox8/19
✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 20%(5)A: 50%(2)

Hits Allowed

11g
avg 4.3
36.4%Over: 4-7
6vs O 4.5-111
vsWhite Sox8/19
✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗
H: 66.7%(6)A: 0%(3)

Walks Allowed

11g
avg 1.9
54.5%Over: 6-5
2vs O 1.5-191
vsWhite Sox8/19
✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✓
H: 25%(4)A: 100%(3)

Outs Recorded

11g
avg 17.6
54.5%Over: 6-5
16vs O 17.5
vsWhite Sox8/19
✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★100%(1-0)—0%(0-1)—100%(1-0)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)100%(3-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-3)100%(2-0)
★★★★★100%(2-0)—100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★0%(0-2)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)—0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Sean Newcomb
8/19

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 23.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Holmes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
8/14

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.34 against the Cardinals in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo
8/8

Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.

Game Log

Bet
$
64-80 Over144 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 1.51L-135
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 4.51L-124
8/19vsWhite SoxHits AllowedO 4.56W-111
8/19vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 16.516L-118
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 6.51L+360
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 3.51L-275
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 8.51L+1460
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 1.51L-3000
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 2.51L-700
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 5.51L+168
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 7.51L+720
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 9.51L—
8/19vsWhite SoxWalks AllowedO 1.52W-191
8/19vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 10.51L—
8/19vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 20.516L—
8/19vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 17.516L—
8/19vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 14.516W—
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.53L+390
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 3.53L-136
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 4.53L+168
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 6.53L+760
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 2.53W-350
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 8.53L—
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 1.53W-1520
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 7.53L+1660
8/14vsCardinalsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-105
8/14vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 16.520W—
8/14vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 1.50L-110
8/14vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 4.51L-103
8/14vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 17.520W—
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 0.53W—
8/14vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 43L—
8/14vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 15.520W+120
8/14vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 5.51L+135
8/14vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 14.520W—
8/14vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 20.520L—
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 4.58W-141
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 3.58W-317
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 6.58W+283
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 2.58W-850
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 7.58W+559
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 5.58W+148
5/15vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 16.513L+118
5/15vsYankeesPitcher KsO 8.58L+1100
5/15vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 15.513L-131
5/15vsYankeesEarned RunsO 2.54W+112
5/15vsYankeesHits AllowedO 4.57W-136
5/15vsYankeesWalks AllowedO 2.52L+147
5/9@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 4.56W+200
5/9@DiamondbacksPitcher KsO 2.56W-275

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6 with an average actual of 4.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$178.
How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on earned runs 1.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$256.
How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$167.
How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$83.
How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 17.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$9.
What are Clay Holmes's best prop bets in 2026?
Clay Holmes's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 50% (3-3); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 45.5% (5-6).

Clay Holmes 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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