Inside Edge
New York Mets100% K O 2.583.3% OUT O 16.542.9% HA O 4.5
Season
All Clay Holmes propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
9g33.3%Over: 3-6
7vs O 4.5-136
vs
Yankees5/15
Yankees5/15✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗
H: 75%(4)A: 0%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
5/15Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
5/9Right-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Holmes have an ERA of 4.33 against the Diamondbacks since last year.
★★★★★vs Jack Kochanowicz
5/3Pitchers with similar repertoires to Holmes have an ERA of 3.07 against the Angels over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-6 Over9g · 9 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/15 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -136 |
| 5/9 | @ Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -109 |
| 5/3 | @ Angels | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -140 |
| 4/28 | vs Nationals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -145 |
| 4/22 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -114 |
| 4/15 | @ Dodgers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -122 |
| 4/10 | vs Athletics | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -122 |
| 4/4 | @ Giants | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 3/30 | @ Cardinals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -128 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Clay Holmes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Clay Holmes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 4.6.
Is Clay Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Clay Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$258 (-28.67% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 4.6.
What is Clay Holmes's hits allowed average this season?
Clay Holmes averages 4.6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.