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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
3.80ERA159K147IP9.7K/925G
3.80ERA159K147IP9.7K/925G
68.4% OUT O 17.559.1% HA O 4.547.8% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Braxton Ashcraft goes over 17.5 outs recorded 68.4% of the time (13-6)

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

28g
avg 5.9
42.3%Over: 11-15-2
4vs O 6.5+164
vsTigers8/18
✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗PP
H: 38.5%(13)A: 46.2%(13)

Earned Runs

26g
avg 2.4
44%Over: 11-14-1
1vs O 1.5-151
vsTigers8/18
✗✗✓✗✓✓✓P✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 40%(10)

Hits Allowed

26g
avg 5
56%Over: 14-11-1
5vs O 4.5-155
vsTigers8/18
✓✗✗✗✓✓✓P✓✓
H: 75%(12)A: 36.4%(11)

Walks Allowed

24g
avg 1.4
45.8%Over: 11-13
0vs O 0.5-218
vsTigers8/18
✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✗✓
H: 60%(10)A: 38.5%(13)

Outs Recorded

24g
avg 18
66.7%Over: 16-8
24vs O 17.5-120
vsTigers8/18
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 75%(8)A: 63.6%(11)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(27%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Ashcraft's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)0%(0-2)33.3%(2-4)66.7%(4-2)100%(3-0)
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(1-1)75%(3-1)25%(1-3)100%(4-0)
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)42.9%(3-4)62.5%(5-3)14.3%(1-6)57.1%(4-3)
★★★★★0%(0-4)100%(2-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Keider Montero
8/18

Current Tigers hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Ashcraft over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Tyler Phillips
8/13

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.42 against the Marlins in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.

★★★★★vs Dustin May
8/6

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ashcraft have an ERA of 4.99 against the Brewers over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
209-171-20 Over400 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.54L+164
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.54W-550
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.54L+321
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.54W-3400
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.54L-250
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.54L-120
8/18vsTigersOuts RecordedO 16.524W—
8/18vsTigersEarned RunsO 1.51L-151
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 8.54L+660
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.54W—
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 10.54L—
8/18vsTigersPitcher KsO 9.54L+1320
8/18vsTigersOuts RecordedO 17.524W-120
8/18vsTigersHits AllowedO 5.55L+119
8/18vsTigersHits AllowedO 4.55W-155
8/18vsTigersWalks AllowedO 0.50L-218
8/18vsTigersOuts RecordedO 20.524W—
8/18vsTigersOuts RecordedO 14.524W—
8/13@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.527W+110
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 5.510W-105
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 9.510W+1620
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 6.510W+195
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 3.510W-525
8/13@MarlinsEarned RunsO 2.51L—
8/13@MarlinsHits AllowedO 5.53L+110
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 4.510W-220
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 8.510W+800
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 7.510W+385
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 2.510W-2400
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 10.510L—
8/13@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.527W—
8/13@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 20.527W—
8/13@MarlinsPitcher KsO 1.510W—
8/13@MarlinsEarned RunsO 1.51L-159
8/13@MarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+144
8/13@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 16.527W—
8/13@MarlinsHits AllowedO 4.53L-145
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 5.55L-129
8/6@BrewersOuts RecordedO 17.515L—
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 9.55L+1240
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 6.55L+159
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 3.55W-730
8/6@BrewersWalks AllowedO 1.51L+110
8/6@BrewersHits AllowedO 4.54L-136
8/6@BrewersEarned RunsO 2.54W+130
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 2.55W-2800
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 4.55W-282
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 7.55L+322
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 8.55L+650
8/6@BrewersPitcher KsO 1.55W—

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 42.3% of the time in 2026, going 11-15-2 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$782.
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on earned runs 2.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 6-9 with an average actual of 2.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$67.
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 59.1% of the time in 2026, going 13-9-1 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$74.
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 47.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-12 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$118.
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 68.4% of the time in 2026, going 13-6 with an average actual of 18.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$724.
What are Braxton Ashcraft's best prop bets in 2026?
Braxton Ashcraft's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 68.4% (13-6); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 59.1% (13-9); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 47.8% (11-12).

Braxton Ashcraft 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.28 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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