Pittsburgh Pirates100% K O 2.571.4% OUT O 17.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Braxton Ashcraft propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g44.4%Over: 8-10
1vs O 2.5-110
@
Nationals7/4
Nationals7/4✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✓
H: 57.1%(7)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(35%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ashcraft's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(4-0) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 0%(0-2) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Carson Palmquist
7/4Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ashcraft have an ERA of 5.61 against the Nationals over the last year.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
6/29Current Phillies hitters have struck out 25.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Ashcraft over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Phillies.
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
6/24Current Mariners hitters have struck out 22.1% of the time against pitchers similar to Ashcraft over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-13 Over18g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Nationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 6/29 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 6/24 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 6/24 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/17 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 6/12 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 6/6 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +127 |
| 5/31 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +102 |
| 5/26 | vs Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -154 |
| 5/21 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 5/21 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -141 |
| 5/15 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/15 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -175 |
| 5/9 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -154 |
| 5/3 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -164 |
| 4/28 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -147 |
| 4/22 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 4/16 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -153 |
| 4/11 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -147 |
| 4/5 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 3/30 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -174 |
| 3/30 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on earned runs 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$362 (-20.11% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Braxton Ashcraft's earned runs average this season?
Braxton Ashcraft averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge