Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates100% K O 2.583.3% OUT O 17.560% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Braxton Ashcraft propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g50%Over: 5-5
1vs O 1.5-141
@
Cardinals5/21
Cardinals5/21✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 75%(4)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(67%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ashcraft's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 66.7%(4-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Dustin May
5/21Current Cardinals hitters are batting .226 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ashcraft over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
5/15Current Phillies hitters are batting .233 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ashcraft over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/9Giants hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Ashcraft.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-7 Over10g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 5/21 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -141 |
| 5/15 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/15 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -175 |
| 5/9 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -154 |
| 5/3 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -164 |
| 4/28 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -147 |
| 4/22 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 4/16 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -153 |
| 4/11 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -147 |
| 4/5 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 3/30 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -174 |
| 3/30 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on earned runs 1.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$191 (-19.1% ROI). The hit rate is 55.6% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Braxton Ashcraft's earned runs average this season?
Braxton Ashcraft averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.