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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Braxton Ashcraft/Hits Allowed
Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
3.80ERA159K147IP9.7K/925G
3.80ERA159K147IP9.7K/925G
68.4% OUT O 17.559.1% HA O 4.547.8% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Braxton Ashcraft props

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Hits Allowed

26g
avg 5
56%Over: 14-11-1
5vs O 4.5-155
vsTigers8/18
✓✗✗✗✓✓✓P✓✓
H: 75%(12)A: 36.4%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
40%
67%
100%
75%
25%
Mar
0-1
Apr
2-3
May
4-2
Jun
3-0
Jul
3-1
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(27%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Ashcraft's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)0%(0-2)33.3%(2-4)66.7%(4-2)100%(3-0)
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(1-1)75%(3-1)25%(1-3)100%(4-0)
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)42.9%(3-4)62.5%(5-3)14.3%(1-6)57.1%(4-3)
★★★★★0%(0-4)100%(2-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Keider Montero
8/18

Current Tigers hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Ashcraft over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Tyler Phillips
8/13

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.42 against the Marlins in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.

★★★★★vs Dustin May
8/6

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ashcraft have an ERA of 4.99 against the Brewers over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
18-20-2 Over26g · 40 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/18vsTigersO 5.55L+119
8/18vsTigersO 4.55W-155
8/13@MarlinsO 5.53L+110
8/13@MarlinsO 4.53L-145
8/6@BrewersO 4.54L-136
8/6@BrewersO 5.54L+120
8/1@RedsO 5.52L+115
8/1@RedsO 4.52L-160
7/26vsCubsO 5.57W+125
7/26vsCubsO 4.57W-160
7/20@YankeesO 4.59W-105
7/11vsBrewersO 5.55L—
7/11vsBrewersO 4.55W-101
7/10vsBrewersO 4.50P—
7/10vsBrewersO 5.50P+140
7/4@NationalsO 5.56W+100
6/29@PhilliesO 5.55L+120
6/29@PhilliesO 4.55W-160
6/24vsMarinersO 4.55W-135
6/24vsMarinersO 5.55L+120
6/17@AthleticsO 5.54L-115
6/12vsMarlinsO 5.55L-118
6/6@BravesO 4.59W-165
6/6@BravesO 5.59W+121
5/31vsTwinsO 4.55W+104
5/26vsCubsO 4.57W-150
5/21@CardinalsO 5.54L+120
5/21@CardinalsO 4.54L-154
5/15vsPhilliesO 5.57W+107
5/15vsPhilliesO 4.57W-160
5/9@GiantsO 4.56W-135
5/9@GiantsO 5.56W+125
5/3vsRedsO 4.54L+100
4/28vsCardinalsO 4.56W-135
4/22@RangersO 4.54L-105
4/16vsNationalsO 4.55W-135
4/16vsNationalsO 5.55L+120
4/11@CubsO 4.54L+105
4/5vsOriolesO 4.54L-120
3/30@RedsO 4.54L+100

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Braxton Ashcraft hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Braxton Ashcraft hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 59.1% of the time in 2026, going 13-9-1 with an average actual of 5.
Is Braxton Ashcraft over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 26 games in 2026, betting $100 on Braxton Ashcraft over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$26 (-1% ROI). The hit rate is 59.1% with an average actual of 5.
What is Braxton Ashcraft's hits allowed average this season?
Braxton Ashcraft averages 5 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 26 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.

Braxton Ashcraft 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.28 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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