Ben Lively

Cleveland GuardiansPitcher•2025

Reg3.31 ERA / 29 K / 43.5 IP / 6.0 K/9 / 9G

62.5% BBA O 1.557.1% ER O 2.533.3% K O 3.5

Season

Best Performer

Ben Lively goes over 1.5 walks allowed 62.5% of the time (5-3)

Props — 20258 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 3.3

25%Over: 2-6

1vs O 3.5-118

Brewers5/12

✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)

Earned Runs

avg 1.9

50%Over: 4-4

0vs O 2.5-120

Brewers5/12

✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✓

H: 50%(4)A: 66.7%(3)

Hits Allowed

avg 4.5

37.5%Over: 3-5

1vs O 5.5+115

Brewers5/12

✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗

H: 0%(2)A: 33.3%(3)

Walks Allowed

avg 1.6

62.5%Over: 5-3

2vs O 1.5-115

Brewers5/12

✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗

H: 80%(5)A: 33.3%(3)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lively's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	75%(3-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★

5/12

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Lively have an ERA of 3.48 against the Brewers over the last year.

★★★★★

5/6

Not enough matchup data.

★★★★★

5/1

Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lively over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Twins.

Game Log

Bet

14-19 Over33 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/12	vsBrewers	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	1	L	-118
5/12	vsBrewers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-120
5/12	vsBrewers	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	1	L	+115
5/12	vsBrewers	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-115
5/1	vsTwins	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	2	L	-176
5/1	vsTwins	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	+115
5/1	vsTwins	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-130
5/1	vsTwins	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	-118
5/1	vsTwins	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-115
4/26	vsRed Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	-102
4/26	vsRed Sox	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	-105
4/26	vsRed Sox	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	-145
4/26	vsRed Sox	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-175
4/19	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	3	L	-170
4/19	@Pirates	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-130
4/19	@Pirates	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	+100
4/19	@Pirates	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-200
4/13	vsRoyals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	5	W	-118
4/13	vsRoyals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	+110
4/13	vsRoyals	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	7	W	-165
4/13	vsRoyals	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	+105
4/8	vsWhite Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	+105
4/8	vsWhite Sox	Earned Runs	O 1.5	0	L	-155
4/8	vsWhite Sox	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	2	L	-120
4/8	vsWhite Sox	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-140
4/2	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	+124
4/2	@Padres	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	-105
4/2	@Padres	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	7	W	-105
4/2	@Padres	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	+120
3/27	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	3	L	+142
3/27	@Royals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	-130
3/27	@Royals	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	-115
3/27	@Royals	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-120

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ben Lively hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Ben Lively hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 2-4 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$191.

How often does Ben Lively hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Ben Lively hits the over on earned runs 2.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$77.

How often does Ben Lively hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?

Ben Lively hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 20% of the time in 2025, going 1-4 with an average actual of 4.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$305.

How often does Ben Lively hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Ben Lively hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2025, going 5-3 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$141.

What are Ben Lively's best prop bets in 2025?

Ben Lively's highest-hitting props in 2025: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 62.5% (5-3); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 33.3% (2-4).