Cleveland Guardians62.5% BBA O 1.557.1% ER O 2.533.3% K O 3.5
Season
All Ben Lively propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g50%Over: 4-4
0vs O 2.5-120
vs
Brewers5/12
Brewers5/12✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lively's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/12Pitchers with similar repertoires to Lively have an ERA of 3.48 against the Brewers over the last year.
★★★★★
5/6Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★
5/1Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lively over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Twins.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-4 Over8g · 8 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ben Lively hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ben Lively hits the over on earned runs 2.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Ben Lively over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Ben Lively over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$23 (-2.87% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Ben Lively's earned runs average this season?
Ben Lively averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge