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Players/MLB/Washington Nationals/Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez

Andrew Alvarez

Washington Nationals•Pitcher•2026
3.76ERA74K76.5IP8.7K/919G
3.76ERA74K76.5IP8.7K/919G
60% BBA O 1.553.8% K O 4.536.4% OUT O 14.5
Season
Best Performer

Andrew Alvarez goes over 1.5 walks allowed 60% of the time (6-4)

Props — 202613 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

13g
avg 4.2
53.8%Over: 7-6
5vs O 4.5+116
@Rangers8/20
✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 40%(5)A: 62.5%(8)

Hits Allowed

13g
avg 4
30.8%Over: 4-9
4vs O 4.5-106
@Rangers8/20
✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✗
H: 20%(5)A: 28.6%(7)

Earned Runs

13g
avg 1.7
23.1%Over: 3-10
1vs O 2.5+115
@Rangers8/20
✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)

Walks Allowed

12g
avg 2.4
58.3%Over: 7-5
3vs O 1.5
@Rangers8/20
✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 71.4%(7)

Outs Recorded

11g
avg 14.3
36.4%Over: 4-7
15vs O 14.5-154
@Rangers8/20
✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 37.5%(8)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(8%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Earned RunsO 1.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)50%(1-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(1-0)—100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)0%(0-2)0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★25%(1-3)0%(0-3)50%(1-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
8/20

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Alvarez have an ERA of 2.35 against the Rangers over the last year.

★★★★★vs Robert Stock
8/14

Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Alvarez.

★★★★★vs Chase Burns
8/8

Reds hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Alvarez.

Game Log

Bet
$
77-116-1 Over194 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 2.55W-550
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 3.55W-206
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 5.55L+246
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 6.55L+514
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 4.55W+116
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 1.55W-2300
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 7.55L+1040
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 9.55L—
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 8.55L—
8/20@RangersOuts RecordedO 14.515W-154
8/20@RangersHits AllowedO 4.54L-106
8/20@RangersEarned RunsO 2.51L+115
8/20@RangersWalks AllowedO 2.53W+145
8/20@RangersOuts RecordedO 11.515W—
8/20@RangersOuts RecordedO 20.515L—
8/20@RangersOuts RecordedO 17.515L—
8/20@RangersPitcher KsO 45W—
8/20@RangersWalks AllowedO 1.53W—
8/14@MetsHits AllowedO 4.52L-135
8/14@MetsOuts RecordedO 14.517W-132
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 4.54L+128
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 6.54L+571
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 3.54W-189
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 2.54W-450
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 5.54L+266
8/14@MetsEarned RunsO 2.52L+119
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 7.54L+1200
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 8.54L—
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 1.54W-2000
8/14@MetsOuts RecordedO 17.517L—
8/14@MetsOuts RecordedO 11.517W—
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 44P—
8/14@MetsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-177
8/14@MetsPitcher KsO 0.54W—
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 2.52L-625
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 5.52L+165
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 3.52L-250
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 7.52L+690
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 4.52L-120
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 6.52L+324
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 8.52L+1420
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 1.52W—
8/8vsRedsOuts RecordedO 14.516W-134
8/8vsRedsHits AllowedO 4.53L-120
8/8vsRedsPitcher KsO 9.52L—
8/8vsRedsEarned RunsO 2.51L+104
8/8vsRedsOuts RecordedO 17.516L—
8/8vsRedsOuts RecordedO 11.516W—
8/8vsRedsOuts RecordedO 20.516L—
8/8vsRedsWalks AllowedO 2.51L+119

Washington Nationals Teammates

View all
CJ AbramsDaylen LileJacob YoungJames WoodKeibert RuizDylan CrewsJorbit VivasCurtis MeadBrady HouseDrew MillasAndrés ChaparroHarry FordJoey WiemerAbimelec OrtizCade Cavalli

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6 with an average actual of 4.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$244.
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 3-9 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$564.
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on earned runs 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$286.
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$46.
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-7 with an average actual of 14.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$175.
What are Andrew Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?
Andrew Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (6-4); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 53.8% (7-6); Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 36.4% (4-7).

Andrew Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.13 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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