Washington Nationals100% K O 1.550% BBA O 1.542.9% HA O 4.5
Season
All Andrew Alvarez propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
7g42.9%Over: 3-4
4vs O 4.5-134
vs
Astros7/7
Astros7/7✗✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 50%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
21Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tatsuya Imai
7/7Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Astros over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
7/1Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .251 against the Red Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
6/26Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .234 against the Orioles over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-7 Over7g · 10 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Andrew Alvarez over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Andrew Alvarez over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$164 (-23.43% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Andrew Alvarez's hits allowed average this season?
Andrew Alvarez averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge