Washington Nationals100% K O 1.550% BBA O 1.542.9% HA O 4.5
Season
All Andrew Alvarez propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g14.3%Over: 1-6
5vs O 2.5+126
vs
Astros7/7
Astros7/7✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 50%(2)A: 0%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
21Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tatsuya Imai
7/7Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Astros over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
7/1Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .251 against the Red Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
6/26Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .234 against the Orioles over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-8 Over7g · 11 props
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 1-5 with an average actual of 1.8.
Is Andrew Alvarez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Andrew Alvarez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$374 (-53.43% ROI). The hit rate is 16.7% with an average actual of 1.8.
What is Andrew Alvarez's earned runs average this season?
Andrew Alvarez averages 1.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge