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Players/MLB/Washington Nationals/Andrew Alvarez/Earned Runs
Andrew Alvarez

Andrew Alvarez

Washington Nationals•Pitcher•2026
3.76ERA74K76.5IP8.7K/919G
3.76ERA74K76.5IP8.7K/919G
60% BBA O 1.553.8% K O 4.536.4% OUT O 14.5
Season
All Andrew Alvarez props

Props — 202613 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

13g
avg 1.7
23.1%Over: 3-10
1vs O 2.5+115
@Rangers8/20
✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
33%
33%
Jun
1-2
Jul
1-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(8%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Earned RunsO 1.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)50%(1-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(1-0)—100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)0%(0-2)0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★25%(1-3)0%(0-3)50%(1-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
8/20

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Alvarez have an ERA of 2.35 against the Rangers over the last year.

★★★★★vs Robert Stock
8/14

Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Alvarez.

★★★★★vs Chase Burns
8/8

Reds hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Alvarez.

Game Log

Bet
$
4-14 Over13g · 18 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/20@RangersO 2.51L+115
8/14@MetsO 2.52L+119
8/8vsRedsO 2.51L+104
8/3@PhilliesO 2.52L-106
7/27vsBlue JaysO 2.51L+101
7/27vsBlue JaysO 1.51L-140
7/20@RockiesO 2.53W-148
7/7vsAstrosO 1.55W-175
7/7vsAstrosO 2.55W+126
7/1@Red SoxO 2.50L+107
7/1@Red SoxO 1.50L-155
6/26@OriolesO 2.52L+121
6/26@OriolesO 1.52W-175
6/21@RaysO 2.51L—
6/21@RaysO 1.51L-170
6/15vsRoyalsO 2.51L+115
6/9@GiantsO 2.52L+115
6/3vsMarlinsO 1.51L-130

Washington Nationals Teammates

View all
CJ AbramsDaylen LileJacob YoungJames WoodKeibert RuizDylan CrewsJorbit VivasCurtis MeadBrady HouseDrew MillasAndrés ChaparroHarry FordJoey WiemerAbimelec OrtizCade Cavalli

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Andrew Alvarez hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Andrew Alvarez hits the over on earned runs 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 1.7.
Is Andrew Alvarez over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2026, betting $100 on Andrew Alvarez over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$818 (-62.92% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 1.7.
What is Andrew Alvarez's earned runs average this season?
Andrew Alvarez averages 1.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.

Andrew Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.13 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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