Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale

AthleticsPitcher2026
Reg5.35 ERA / 54 K / 70.7 IP / 6.9 K/9 / 15G
72.7% HA O 5.546.7% ER O 2.535.7% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer

Aaron Civale goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (12-0)

Props — 202615 games with closing lines

avg 3.6
40%Over: 6-9
6vs O 3.5-115
vsMarlins7/4
H: 28.6%(7)A: 42.9%(7)
avg 2.8
46.7%Over: 7-8
4vs O 2.5-161
vsMarlins7/4
H: 57.1%(7)A: 37.5%(8)
avg 6.2
66.7%Over: 10-5
6vs O 5.5-145
vsMarlins7/4
H: 83.3%(6)A: 60%(5)
avg 1.5
40%Over: 6-9
2vs O 1.5+112
vsMarlins7/4
H: 42.9%(7)A: 28.6%(7)
avg 14.4
23.1%Over: 3-10
14vs O 15.5
vsMarlins7/4
H: 16.7%(6)A: 40%(5)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
13
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Civale's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)
75%(3-1)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)25%(1-3)0%(0-2)
25%(1-3)60%(3-2)100%(3-0)25%(1-3)25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Sandy Alcantara
7/4

Marlins hitters have a 4.5 star average matchup against Civale.

vs Sam Aldegheri
6/28

Several hitters in the Angels lineup have a 5-star matchup against Civale today.

vs Robbie Ray
6/23

Current Giants hitters are batting .291 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Civale over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
68-112 Over180 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 3.56W-115
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 5.56W+474
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 4.56W+207
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 2.56W-300
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 1.56W-1060
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 0.56W
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 6.56L+1080
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 8.56L
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 7.56L
7/4vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 9.56L
7/4vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 5.56W-145
7/4vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 3.54W+112
7/4vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.514L-143
7/4vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 6.56L+123
7/4vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 15.514L
7/4vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 2.54W-161
7/4vsMarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.52W+112
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 3.52L-185
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.52L+270
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 2.52L-450
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.52L+580
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 4.52L+120
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 1.52W-1980
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 8.52L
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 9.52L
6/28@AngelsPitcher KsO 7.52L+1180
6/28@AngelsHits AllowedO 5.57W+122
6/28@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.54W-110
6/28@AngelsOuts RecordedO 14.515W-150
6/28@AngelsOuts RecordedO 15.515L
6/28@AngelsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+114
6/28@AngelsHits AllowedO 4.57W-165
6/23@GiantsHits AllowedO 5.56W+109
6/23@GiantsOuts RecordedO 14.512L-140
6/23@GiantsEarned RunsO 2.52L-109
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 3.55W+120
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 4.55W+270
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.55L+575
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 2.55W-200
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 6.55L+1260
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 1.55W-870
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 8.55L
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 7.55L
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 9.55L
6/23@GiantsWalks AllowedO 1.50L+102
6/23@GiantsPitcher KsO 0.55W
6/17vsPiratesPitcher KsO 5.52L+526
6/17vsPiratesPitcher KsO 2.52L-242
6/17vsPiratesPitcher KsO 3.52L+103
6/17vsPiratesPitcher KsO 4.52L+236

Athletics Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-9 with an average actual of 3.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$552.
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$180.
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-3 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$499.
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-9 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$481.
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 27.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-8 with an average actual of 15.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$237.
What are Aaron Civale's best prop bets in 2026?
Aaron Civale's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 72.7% (8-3); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 46.7% (7-8); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 35.7% (5-9).

Aaron Civale 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.15 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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